Bethesda (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 984 (#407) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 957 (#424) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 991 (#523) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.6 (#678) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.079 (#747) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.158 (#574) | AdjNet -14.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.155 (#573) | AdjNet -14.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.210 (#646) | AdjO 84.2 | AdjD 98.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.433 (#536) | AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 79.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.274 (#599) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.304 (#583) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 916 (#459) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Occidental | L | 83 - 114 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Durr | - | 1 | 34.2 | 34.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | - | 68.3 | 66.7 |
| Miles Sulka | - | 1 | 30.5 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 62.3 | 60.7 |
| Nicolas Laguna | - | 1 | 17.5 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 82.0 | 87.5 |
| Andre White | - | 1 | 17.9 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -12 | -1.5 | -56.1 | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.86 | 64.4 | 66.7 |
| Tariq White | - | 1 | 13.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -23 | -1.1 | -10.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG