Bethesda (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 984 (#407) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 957 (#424) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 991 (#523) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.6 (#678) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.079 (#747) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.158 (#574) | AdjNet -14.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.155 (#573) | AdjNet -14.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.210 (#646) | AdjO 84.2 | AdjD 98.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.433 (#536) | AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 79.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.274 (#599) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.304 (#583) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 913 (#460) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blakeley Stoughton | - | 1 | 24.0 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 17.0 | 11 | 1.6 | 14.0 | 55.6 | 42.9 | 80.0 | 0.22 | 66.8 | 63.9 |
| McKelary Robertson | - | 1 | 23.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | -4 | -0.7 | -6.5 | 70.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -0.48 | 81.4 | 85.0 |
| Cruz Billings | - | 1 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 25.1 | 40.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -0.48 | 55.3 | 45.0 |
| Jake Heberle | - | 1 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 34 | 2.0 | 37.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.29 | 50.5 | 45.8 |
| Kyle Lewis | - | 1 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | -16 | -2.7 | -7.2 | 83.3 | 75.0 | 0 | 0.95 | 108.3 | 108.3 |
| Murphy Caffo | - | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 39 | 4.3 | 299.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.71 | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| Andrew Ingalls | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -15 | -2.1 | -23.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.08 | 86.8 | 100.0 |
| Tyler Dutto | - | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -21 | -2.6 | -50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.14 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Scott Schulz | - | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | - | 79.8 | 150.0 |
| Adam Damian | - | 1 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Connor Stechschulte | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 30.1 | 0.0 |
| Carlo Billings | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 25.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Bood | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Landon Gregg | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Kim | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 94 | 6.7 | 38.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean McCarthy | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Max Morelli | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Selden Pickens | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Saccacio | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nygle Williams | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 2.5 | 70.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.01 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG