Bethany Lutheran
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1037 (#206) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 988 (#396) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 919 (#651) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.9 (#175) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.1 (#566) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.616 (#388) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.391 (#406) | AdjNet -3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.383 (#405) | AdjNet -4.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.439 (#401) | AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 81.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.352 (#627) | AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 80.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.288 (#584) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.296 (#589) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 911 (#467) | RD 82 | GP 38 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian LaRoche, Jr. | - | 1 | 31.8 | 32.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 68.8 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0.64 | 97.3 | 96.9 |
| Kaden Pieper | - | 1 | 44.2 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 112 | 3.6 | 26.2 | 58.8 | 80.0 | 100.0 | 1.59 | 76.4 | 70.6 |
| Benjamin Pearson | - | 1 | 35.0 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | -44 | -2.3 | -7.4 | 53.8 | 62.5 | 50.0 | -1.66 | 72.0 | 73.1 |
| Tyler Swierczek | - | 1 | 32.5 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | -17 | -0.8 | -5.2 | 53.8 | 42.9 | 100.0 | -0.7 | 68.4 | 65.4 |
| Thomas Balge | - | 1 | 32.0 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | -5 | -0.3 | -1.5 | 45.5 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 0.53 | 58.4 | 50.0 |
| Adam Loberger | - | 1 | 31.0 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 25 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 44.4 | 14.3 | 66.7 | -0.78 | 49.2 | 47.2 |
| Max Briggs | - | 18 | 29.7 | 18.3 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 12.0 | 12.1 | 79 | 4.0 | 19.2 | 46.8 | 41.5 | 83.0 | 3.21 | 63.3 | 56.9 |
| Keagan Faulkner | - | 1 | 33.6 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | -13 | -2.6 | -38.9 | 45.5 | 25.0 | 80.0 | -0.16 | 60.6 | 54.5 |
| Jayden Jackson | - | 16 | 30.5 | 15.1 | 7.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 11.4 | 10.7 | -20 | -1.0 | -3.9 | 46.7 | 30.6 | 71.2 | 0.26 | 55.7 | 50.8 |
| Carvin Fish | - | 1 | 44.1 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 14 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 1.72 | 55.0 | 45.5 |
| Coco Rose | - | 15 | 27.5 | 14.7 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 14.1 | 5.4 | -29 | -1.8 | -5.3 | 43.1 | 28.2 | 82.6 | 1.71 | 50.0 | 47.9 |
| Ryan Reasbeck | - | 17 | 29.6 | 13.2 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 10.5 | 10.4 | 52 | 2.4 | 10.2 | 43.8 | 35.3 | 63.6 | -1.7 | 57.0 | 55.3 |
| Alejandro Diaz | - | 1 | 34.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | -53 | -2.3 | -11.4 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 85.7 | -0.23 | 49.7 | 35.0 |
| Sean Molloy | - | 1 | 29.5 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | -42 | -1.8 | -9.5 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 90.0 | -1.04 | 45.1 | 20.0 |
| Troy Hixson | - | 17 | 29.8 | 11.4 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 9.3 | 8.2 | 24 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 41.8 | 35.4 | 84.6 | -1.82 | 55.4 | 50.9 |
| Jack Brockmann | - | 18 | 30.9 | 11.4 | 7.7 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 7.6 | 14.4 | 92 | 4.4 | 22.9 | 58.4 | 36.4 | 63.1 | -0.98 | 61.9 | 59.9 |
| Justin Sveiteris | - | 1 | 26.3 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | -41 | -1.9 | -17.8 | 80.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.44 | 81.4 | 80.0 |
| Jase Nelson | - | 1 | 35.8 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 12 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 83.3 | 100.0 | 0.0 | -1.64 | 85.4 | 91.7 |
| Will Walter | - | 17 | 21.2 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 8.2 | 5.8 | 37 | 1.9 | 15.5 | 45.7 | 37.2 | 75.9 | 4.43 | 58.6 | 56.1 |
| Tyler Surin | - | 1 | 31.3 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 31 | 2.1 | 35.4 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.18 | 45.5 | 45.5 |
| Ethan Kjenstad | - | 1 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 33 | 1.5 | 7.6 | 57.1 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.09 | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| LeRoy Staples-Fairbanks | - | 1 | 33.8 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 57 | 3.0 | 18.5 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.57 | 29.2 | 29.2 |
| Elliot Whitney | - | 18 | 21.6 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 34 | 1.6 | 17.0 | 37.2 | 27.7 | 66.7 | -0.25 | 43.5 | 42.0 |
| Bryson Bishop | - | 17 | 24.2 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 10.1 | 62 | 4.1 | 67.9 | 77.0 | 0 | 57.6 | 3.7 | 74.8 | 77.0 |
| Blue Smaller | - | 11 | 20.4 | 6.5 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 3.9 | 7.5 | 51 | 4.2 | 165.2 | 67.4 | 0 | 53.8 | 2.34 | 66.1 | 67.4 |
| Thomas Tiernan | - | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 8 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.31 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Rysley Borman | - | 16 | 17.1 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 72 | 4.0 | 162.6 | 34.1 | 29.2 | 77.3 | 0.47 | 49.6 | 45.3 |
| Brady Ingersoll | - | 18 | 14.1 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 3.9 | 22 | 1.0 | 7.7 | 47.2 | 31.2 | 83.3 | -1.64 | 55.2 | 52.8 |
| Amory Peterson | - | 16 | 15.7 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 68 | 3.8 | 73.7 | 41.0 | 32.3 | 90.5 | 0.19 | 53.3 | 47.4 |
| Jaden Stewart | - | 17 | 11.0 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 55 | 2.8 | 21.7 | 42.1 | 35.1 | 85.7 | 1.44 | 56.9 | 55.3 |
| Semaj Marshall | - | 16 | 19.4 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 42 | 2.2 | 19.1 | 39.5 | 26.3 | 73.3 | 0.01 | 45.7 | 42.6 |
| Hudsen Jenniges | - | 10 | 13.1 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 4.7 | -4 | -0.3 | -1.6 | 47.2 | 23.1 | 50.0 | -0.41 | 52.1 | 51.4 |
| Cooper Mensink | - | 15 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 10 | 0.6 | 14.1 | 30.0 | 24.2 | 60.0 | 0.68 | 41.6 | 40.7 |
| Tre Davis | - | 1 | 10.4 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -13 | -0.6 | -3.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -2.99 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Benjamin Vasold | - | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 58 | 2.6 | 10.7 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.81 | 36.8 | 40.0 |
| Gustav Gunderson | - | 1 | 26.7 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 4.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.74 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Merrick Reynolds | - | 13 | 8.4 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 1.5 | -14 | -1.1 | -81.0 | 38.2 | 28.6 | 75.0 | 0.77 | 53.3 | 50.0 |
| Tyler DiSilvio | - | 1 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.79 | 39.9 | 0.0 |
| Koen Sartin | - | 4 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | -2 | -0.5 | -37.5 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.78 | 57.1 | 35.7 |
| Alex Katsikas | - | 10 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 | -20 | -2.5 | -157.4 | 38.1 | 31.2 | 100.0 | -0.84 | 51.3 | 50.0 |
| Cole Johnson | - | 8 | 16.1 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -47 | -3.1 | -222.5 | 43.8 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.1 | 46.1 | 43.8 |
| Ethan Marlowe | - | 1 | 10.1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -43 | -2.0 | -16.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.13 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Luke Fix | - | 1 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Trey Lauber | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 15 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.29 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Cole Matthews | - | 15 | 9.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 33 | 2.2 | 39.8 | 24.2 | 25.0 | 80.0 | -2.51 | 39.8 | 36.4 |
| Kaden Butler | - | 10 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 2.7 | -11 | -0.9 | -12.8 | 36.8 | 41.7 | 0.0 | -1.63 | 48.9 | 50.0 |
| Ryan Schrupp | - | 2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Joe Brueggeman | - | 4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Ricky Wengert | - | 12 | 8.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 14 | 1.0 | 5.2 | 30.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.2 | 32.3 | 30.4 |
| Eli Rogers | - | 7 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | -5 | -0.7 | -15.7 | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.57 | 50.8 | 42.9 |
| Brevin Stoa | - | 2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Josh Coffeld | - | 2 | 11.2 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| TJ Jenkins | - | 13 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.1 | -22 | -1.4 | -7.7 | 15.4 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.41 | 23.1 | 23.1 |
| Ryan Raich | - | 6 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -7 | -0.9 | -25.6 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.77 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brandon Moore | - | 7 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | -29 | -1.8 | -14.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.44 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Jaydon James | - | 1 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Oliver Ledger | - | 1 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jean Mongeois | - | 9 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -14 | -1.8 | -109.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.44 | 0 | 0 |
| TJ Starkey | - | 2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Connor Marshall | - | 4 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ethan Bergloff | - | 1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gavin Gross | - | 1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Kruschke | - | 1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Noah Washa | - | 1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Loghan Brown | - | 4 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ridge Martin | - | 2 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2 | -2.0 | -58.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.29 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Martin Krenz | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -1.0 | -73.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Schlittenhart | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Trenton Heyn | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 0.7 | 29.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.53 | 0 | 0 |
| Ian Fahje | - | 1 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 16 | 1.2 | 29.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Alexander Munson | - | 1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 16 | 1.5 | 259.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.43 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG