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Bethany Lutheran

Also known as: Bethany Lutheran
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1037 (#206) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 988 (#396) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 919 (#651) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -3.9 (#175) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -12.1 (#566) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.616 (#388) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.8 More → 0.391 (#406) AdjNet -3.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.1 More → 0.383 (#405) AdjNet -4.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 81.1 More → 0.439 (#401) AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 81.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 80.6 More → 0.352 (#627) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 80.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.288 (#584) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.296 (#589) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 82 | GP 38 More → 911 (#467) RD 82 | GP 38

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ Bowling Green L 65 - 120
2025-11-07 vs Rockford W 79 - 60
2025-11-08 @ Kenyon L 66 - 67
2025-11-08 @ Aurora L 79 - 84
2025-11-13 @ Whitworth L 72 - 94
2025-11-15 @ Whitman L 84 - 89
2025-11-15 vs Luther L 74 - 86
2025-11-18 vs Saint Mary's (MN) W 103 - 74
2025-11-18 @ Puget Sound L 78 - 94
2025-11-21 @ Wis.-Stevens Point L 67 - 78
2025-11-22 @ Ripon W 73 - 55
2025-11-22 @ Mount Aloysius W 87 - 81
2025-11-25 vs Carleton W 79 - 77
2025-11-25 vs Wilmington (OH) L 101 - 109
2025-12-01 @ Penn St.-Beaver W 94 - 74
2025-12-02 vs Oak Hills Christian W 89 - 57
2025-12-06 vs UW-River Falls W 82 - 80
2025-12-07 @ Mercyhurst L 51 - 80
2025-12-10 @ Juniata W 65 - 61
2025-12-13 @ St. Scholastica W 83 - 74
2025-12-14 vs Saint Vincent L 75 - 93
2025-12-16 vs Chatham L 83 - 86
2025-12-17 @ Wartburg L 63 - 84
2025-12-30 @ North Central (IL) L 90 - 91
2025-12-31 @ Loras L 87 - 93
2026-01-03 vs Houghton W 78 - 61
2026-01-07 vs Wash. & Jeff. W 87 - 83
2026-01-07 vs Northwestern-St. Paul W 70 - 69
2026-01-10 @ Hiram L 83 - 88
2026-01-10 @ Wis.-Superior W 75 - 56
2026-01-14 @ Franciscan L 73 - 89
2026-01-14 vs Crown (MN) L 69 - 78
2026-01-17 vs Thiel W 80 - 70
2026-01-21 @ Martin Luther L 72 - 78
2026-01-24 vs North Central (MN) W 86 - 69
2026-01-28 @ Minn.-Morris W 107 - 105
2026-01-31 @ Crown (MN) L 67 - 80
2026-02-04 vs Martin Luther L 73 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brian LaRoche, Jr. - 1 31.8 32.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 16.0 25.0 15 0.8 4.8 68.8 75.0 100.0 0.64 97.3 96.9
Kaden Pieper - 1 44.2 30.0 8.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 17.0 22.0 112 3.6 26.2 58.8 80.0 100.0 1.59 76.4 70.6
Benjamin Pearson - 1 35.0 20.0 13.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 13.0 14.0 -44 -2.3 -7.4 53.8 62.5 50.0 -1.66 72.0 73.1
Tyler Swierczek - 1 32.5 19.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 14.0 -17 -0.8 -5.2 53.8 42.9 100.0 -0.7 68.4 65.4
Thomas Balge - 1 32.0 19.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 12.0 -5 -0.3 -1.5 45.5 33.3 66.7 0.53 58.4 50.0
Adam Loberger - 1 31.0 19.0 10.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 18.0 15.0 25 1.1 4.5 44.4 14.3 66.7 -0.78 49.2 47.2
Max Briggs - 18 29.7 18.3 3.9 2.4 1.3 0.1 1.8 12.0 12.1 79 4.0 19.2 46.8 41.5 83.0 3.21 63.3 56.9
Keagan Faulkner - 1 33.6 16.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 13.0 -13 -2.6 -38.9 45.5 25.0 80.0 -0.16 60.6 54.5
Jayden Jackson - 16 30.5 15.1 7.4 1.0 0.6 0.6 2.8 11.4 10.7 -20 -1.0 -3.9 46.7 30.6 71.2 0.26 55.7 50.8
Carvin Fish - 1 44.1 15.0 11.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 17.0 14 0.7 3.0 45.5 0.0 83.3 1.72 55.0 45.5
Coco Rose - 15 27.5 14.7 2.5 3.3 2.1 0.2 3.3 14.1 5.4 -29 -1.8 -5.3 43.1 28.2 82.6 1.71 50.0 47.9
Ryan Reasbeck - 17 29.6 13.2 5.7 2.1 1.8 0.1 2.0 10.5 10.4 52 2.4 10.2 43.8 35.3 63.6 -1.7 57.0 55.3
Alejandro Diaz - 1 34.0 13.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 8.0 -53 -2.3 -11.4 30.0 20.0 85.7 -0.23 49.7 35.0
Sean Molloy - 1 29.5 13.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 9.0 -42 -1.8 -9.5 20.0 0.0 90.0 -1.04 45.1 20.0
Troy Hixson - 17 29.8 11.4 4.8 1.7 0.7 0.5 1.6 9.3 8.2 24 1.1 4.7 41.8 35.4 84.6 -1.82 55.4 50.9
Jack Brockmann - 18 30.9 11.4 7.7 2.8 1.6 1.5 2.9 7.6 14.4 92 4.4 22.9 58.4 36.4 63.1 -0.98 61.9 59.9
Justin Sveiteris - 1 26.3 11.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 13.0 -41 -1.9 -17.8 80.0 0 75.0 0.44 81.4 80.0
Jase Nelson - 1 35.8 11.0 7.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 16.0 12 0.6 4.0 83.3 100.0 0.0 -1.64 85.4 91.7
Will Walter - 17 21.2 10.5 3.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.7 8.2 5.8 37 1.9 15.5 45.7 37.2 75.9 4.43 58.6 56.1
Tyler Surin - 1 31.3 10.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 9.0 31 2.1 35.4 45.5 0.0 0 1.18 45.5 45.5
Ethan Kjenstad - 1 25.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 33 1.5 7.6 57.1 25.0 0 0.09 64.3 64.3
LeRoy Staples-Fairbanks - 1 33.8 7.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 12.0 2.0 57 3.0 18.5 25.0 20.0 0 0.57 29.2 29.2
Elliot Whitney - 18 21.6 6.9 3.2 3.3 0.7 0.1 2.2 7.6 4.3 34 1.6 17.0 37.2 27.7 66.7 -0.25 43.5 42.0
Bryson Bishop - 17 24.2 6.6 5.5 1.4 0.8 1.3 1.9 3.6 10.1 62 4.1 67.9 77.0 0 57.6 3.7 74.8 77.0
Blue Smaller - 11 20.4 6.5 3.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 3.9 7.5 51 4.2 165.2 67.4 0 53.8 2.34 66.1 67.4
Thomas Tiernan - 1 26.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 3.0 8 0.4 2.1 28.6 33.3 0 0.31 42.9 42.9
Rysley Borman - 16 17.1 5.9 1.9 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.9 5.3 3.1 72 4.0 162.6 34.1 29.2 77.3 0.47 49.6 45.3
Brady Ingersoll - 18 14.1 5.8 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.0 0.8 4.9 3.9 22 1.0 7.7 47.2 31.2 83.3 -1.64 55.2 52.8
Amory Peterson - 16 15.7 5.8 3.8 1.1 0.8 0.2 1.4 4.9 5.4 68 3.8 73.7 41.0 32.3 90.5 0.19 53.3 47.4
Jaden Stewart - 17 11.0 5.3 1.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 4.5 3.2 55 2.8 21.7 42.1 35.1 85.7 1.44 56.9 55.3
Semaj Marshall - 16 19.4 5.0 2.4 2.6 1.0 0.1 2.7 5.1 3.4 42 2.2 19.1 39.5 26.3 73.3 0.01 45.7 42.6
Hudsen Jenniges - 10 13.1 4.3 3.2 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.8 3.6 4.7 -4 -0.3 -1.6 47.2 23.1 50.0 -0.41 52.1 51.4
Cooper Mensink - 15 10.9 4.0 1.3 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.3 4.7 1.3 10 0.6 14.1 30.0 24.2 60.0 0.68 41.6 40.7
Tre Davis - 1 10.4 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 -13 -0.6 -3.6 33.3 0.0 100.0 -2.99 51.5 33.3
Benjamin Vasold - 1 30.0 4.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 58 2.6 10.7 40.0 0.0 0.0 1.81 36.8 40.0
Gustav Gunderson - 1 26.7 4.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 15 0.8 4.3 33.3 0.0 0 -0.74 33.3 33.3
Merrick Reynolds - 13 8.4 3.1 0.9 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.4 2.6 1.5 -14 -1.1 -81.0 38.2 28.6 75.0 0.77 53.3 50.0
Tyler DiSilvio - 1 6.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2 0.1 3.1 0.0 0 75.0 -0.79 39.9 0.0
Koen Sartin - 4 3.0 2.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.8 -2 -0.5 -37.5 28.6 33.3 100.0 0.78 57.1 35.7
Alex Katsikas - 10 4.6 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.1 0.8 -20 -2.5 -157.4 38.1 31.2 100.0 -0.84 51.3 50.0
Cole Johnson - 8 16.1 2.2 3.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 1.4 2.0 5.0 -47 -3.1 -222.5 43.8 0.0 50.0 0.1 46.1 43.8
Ethan Marlowe - 1 10.1 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 -43 -2.0 -16.2 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.13 53.2 0.0
Luke Fix - 1 22.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 -3 -0.1 -0.7 33.3 0.0 0 0.28 33.3 33.3
Trey Lauber - 1 20.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 0.0 15 0.7 3.5 14.3 0.0 0 -1.29 14.3 14.3
Cole Matthews - 15 9.0 1.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.2 0.7 33 2.2 39.8 24.2 25.0 80.0 -2.51 39.8 36.4
Kaden Butler - 10 6.2 1.9 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.7 -11 -0.9 -12.8 36.8 41.7 0.0 -1.63 48.9 50.0
Ryan Schrupp - 2 1.8 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Joe Brueggeman - 4 3.0 1.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.8 - - - 40.0 0.0 100.0 - 51.0 40.0
Ricky Wengert - 12 8.7 1.3 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.2 1.9 0.1 14 1.0 5.2 30.4 0.0 50.0 1.2 32.3 30.4
Eli Rogers - 7 3.8 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.6 -5 -0.7 -15.7 42.9 0 100.0 -1.57 50.8 42.9
Brevin Stoa - 2 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Josh Coffeld - 2 11.2 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
TJ Jenkins - 13 3.9 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 -0.1 -22 -1.4 -7.7 15.4 20.0 0 0.41 23.1 23.1
Ryan Raich - 6 2.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -7 -0.9 -25.6 33.3 33.3 0 0.77 50.0 50.0
Brandon Moore - 7 2.4 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9 -29 -1.8 -14.5 100.0 0 50.0 0.44 79.8 100.0
Jaydon James - 1 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 1.12 0 0
Oliver Ledger - 1 6.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jean Mongeois - 9 4.1 0.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.4 -14 -1.8 -109.8 0 0 0 -1.44 0 0
TJ Starkey - 2 1.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Connor Marshall - 4 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Ethan Bergloff - 1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Gavin Gross - 1 2.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cole Kruschke - 1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Noah Washa - 1 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Loghan Brown - 4 2.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.2 1 0.3 80.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.6 0.0 0.0
Ridge Martin - 2 3.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 -2 -2.0 -58.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.29 0.0 0.0
Martin Krenz - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -1.0 -73.8 0 0 0 -0.32 0 0
Jared Schlittenhart - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Trenton Heyn - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11 0.7 29.2 0 0 0 -1.53 0 0
Ian Fahje - 1 5.8 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 16 1.2 29.9 0 0 0 0.01 0 0
Alexander Munson - 1 1.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 16 1.5 259.5 0 0 0 -0.43 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG