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Bethany (WV)

Also known as: Bethany (WV)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1047 (#139) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1093 (#160) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1134 (#69) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +8.3 (#105) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +3.0 (#320) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.724 (#354) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.2 More → 0.772 (#240) NetEff +8.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.0 More → 0.614 (#340) AdjNet +4.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.7 More → 0.608 (#340) AdjNet +3.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 63.6 More → 0.549 (#332) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 63.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 60.2 More → 0.640 (#187) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 60.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.657 (#255) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.671 (#241) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 80 | GP 37 More → 1126 (#129) RD 80 | GP 37

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs St. Scholastica L 53 - 64
2025-11-08 @ Saint Benedict L 50 - 51
2025-11-08 @ Marietta L 67 - 82
2025-11-12 vs La Roche W 76 - 59
2025-11-13 vs Wis.-La Crosse L 42 - 63
2025-11-15 @ Dickinson L 61 - 70
2025-11-15 vs Augsburg W 72 - 52
2025-11-16 @ Randolph-Macon W 65 - 62
2025-11-19 @ Carleton W 76 - 70
2025-11-22 @ Saint Mary's (MN) L 63 - 97
2025-11-22 @ Capital L 66 - 68
2025-11-25 vs CWRU L 47 - 53
2025-11-25 vs Gustavus Adolphus L 51 - 83
2025-11-30 @ Buena Vista L 60 - 61
2025-12-01 vs Saint Vincent L 57 - 62
2025-12-03 vs Wis.-Stout L 63 - 70
2025-12-06 @ Wis.-Stevens Point L 53 - 62
2025-12-10 vs Chatham W 58 - 43
2025-12-13 vs Hamline L 48 - 63
2025-12-17 vs Heidelberg W 82 - 56
2025-12-29 @ Methodist W 65 - 52
2025-12-30 @ William Peace W 71 - 56
2025-12-31 vs St. Olaf W 68 - 57
2026-01-03 @ Central (IA) L 58 - 68
2026-01-07 vs Northwestern-St. Paul W 67 - 48
2026-01-10 @ Hiram W 75 - 57
2026-01-10 @ Wis.-Superior W 68 - 59
2026-01-14 vs Crown (MN) W 62 - 30
2026-01-14 @ Franciscan W 80 - 61
2026-01-17 vs Thiel W 82 - 56
2026-01-21 @ Waynesburg W 82 - 71
2026-01-24 @ Geneva W 86 - 82
2026-01-28 @ Saint Vincent W 64 - 57
2026-01-31 vs Allegheny W 88 - 61
2026-02-04 @ Chatham W 74 - 67
2026-02-07 vs Grove City W 81 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lindsey Garrison - 20 31.3 14.7 1.7 2.5 1.3 0.1 2.4 11.0 6.8 101 4.8 18.8 45.0 35.1 87.5 1.43 59.0 53.9
Ella Simpson - 20 23.4 12.2 4.3 1.6 1.2 0.3 1.9 9.8 8.0 90 4.3 22.8 45.1 38.8 83.1 1.21 55.2 50.0
Kaedlee Potter - 20 26.3 12.1 6.5 2.9 1.1 0.8 2.2 8.9 12.2 82 3.9 17.3 51.1 23.8 71.1 0.43 57.0 52.5
Kenadi Arndt - 16 29.5 11.1 5.0 1.6 0.3 0.6 2.4 9.9 6.1 33 1.5 8.3 42.8 20.8 65.5 -0.69 48.3 44.3
Morgan Hulke - 16 27.3 10.9 3.1 1.6 1.0 0.1 1.7 7.0 8.1 84 4.2 28.3 49.1 44.6 76.6 -0.6 65.9 62.1
Arinn McGee - 16 23.7 10.7 6.2 1.4 0.6 1.2 2.4 8.6 9.1 -11 -0.6 -3.8 50.7 20.0 62.5 1.24 53.7 51.1
Lindsey Best - 18 27.4 9.8 4.8 3.3 1.4 0.4 3.2 8.2 8.4 97 5.1 18.8 48.0 31.2 58.1 2.56 53.0 51.4
Juliana Ewald - 16 25.4 7.8 3.1 1.4 1.3 0.1 3.6 8.8 1.3 55 2.8 17.6 29.3 30.9 68.8 -3.89 40.6 36.8
Addy Blazer - 17 20.7 7.5 5.2 1.4 2.4 1.1 3.6 6.0 7.9 23 1.4 8.0 43.1 15.4 64.9 -1.5 50.0 44.1
Megan Wegner - 16 25.7 6.1 3.6 1.2 0.9 0.1 1.2 6.6 4.1 75 3.6 20.2 32.1 26.8 78.9 0.24 42.8 39.2
Kate Botti - 20 28.9 5.5 9.1 2.9 1.0 1.6 2.2 7.1 10.8 132 6.3 26.9 33.1 27.5 40.0 5.09 37.3 37.0
Kaylee Hunter - 7 25.6 4.1 2.4 1.6 1.4 0.3 1.6 4.1 4.1 82 6.8 20.9 27.6 27.8 66.7 4.66 42.3 36.2
Sheridan Kennedy - 16 15.8 3.8 4.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 2.0 3.8 4.1 88 4.2 61.5 41.7 0.0 55.0 2.55 44.3 41.7
Shaelyn Anthony - 19 14.1 3.7 2.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.4 2.9 2.9 38 1.9 23.3 39.3 28.6 82.6 -2.14 53.7 46.4
Amaria Jones - 16 11.5 3.2 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 3.9 0.2 38 2.2 55.2 36.5 7.7 83.3 0.46 39.6 37.3
Rylee Knight - 3 11.4 2.7 3.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.3 2.7 3.0 0 0.0 0.0 37.5 40.0 0.0 -0.97 45.0 50.0
Jewel Hardison - 9 6.3 2.4 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 3.2 0.3 - - - 34.5 0.0 40.0 - 35.3 34.5
Yazmin Aricayos - 6 6.8 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.8 1 0.2 17.1 50.0 66.7 100.0 0.17 64.3 60.0
Lauren Bauer - 16 19.4 2.2 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.6 2.7 1.9 31 1.6 23.1 37.2 15.4 50.0 2.34 39.9 39.5
Brea Mertz - 12 8.8 2.1 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.2 6 0.4 14.9 56.2 37.5 100.0 -0.27 70.4 65.6
Amelia Walker - 15 10.3 2.1 2.0 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.1 3.3 0.9 -11 -0.6 -7.2 22.4 25.0 40.0 1.15 27.9 25.5
Ma'yell Craig - 2 3.2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 -1 -0.3 -16.7 66.7 0.0 0 -0.23 66.7 66.7
Mya Johnson - 7 6.6 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.6 1.9 0.6 -21 -3.0 -442.1 30.8 0.0 66.7 -0.23 41.3 30.8
Martina Howe - 8 10.9 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 2.8 -0.1 20 2.2 16.9 27.3 10.0 100.0 1.3 32.8 29.5
Sydney Hoffman - 10 5.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 2.1 0.2 -39 -3.9 -164.8 28.6 31.2 0 0.71 40.5 40.5
Dekotah Barnes - 12 7.6 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.0 1.4 1.7 23 1.8 506.4 41.2 20.0 50.0 -0.03 45.8 44.1
Brooke Burnette - 4 2.7 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 -0.2 3 0.5 38.9 40.0 33.3 50.0 -0.25 51.0 50.0
Asia Sparrow - 4 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.5 -1.0 -9 -2.2 -201.9 20.0 0.0 0 0.19 20.0 20.0
Josie Stone - 15 7.1 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.2 0.9 48 3.2 135.5 38.9 0.0 0 0.39 38.9 38.9
Taylor Dusenberry - 6 2.7 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 -6 -1.0 -53.3 0.0 0 100.0 -1.37 53.2 0.0
Alyssa Ott - 6 5.1 0.0 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.3 0.2 9 1.5 87.1 0.0 0.0 0 0.39 0.0 0.0
Kendra Nazelrod - 1 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Gabby Parke - 2 1.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Cayleigh Dupler - 1 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Madison Reedy - 5 2.3 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 6 1.0 62.6 0.0 0 0 0.29 0.0 0.0
Teagan Epema - 1 6.3 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -1 -0.5 -16.7 0 0 0 -0.23 0 0
Ava Wagner - 3 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 12 4.0 250.4 0 0 0 0.93 0 0
Presley James - 1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG