Bethany (KS)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 968 (#283) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 880 (#465) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 943 (#493) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.3 (#300) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -18.2 (#520) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.064 (#549) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.123 (#601) | AdjNet -17.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.122 (#601) | AdjNet -16.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.218 (#616) | AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 89.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.306 (#540) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 81.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.206 (#526) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.220 (#529) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 812 (#443) | RD 266 | GP 3 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Pittsburg St. | L | 58 - 101 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | South Dakota Mines | L | 69 - 89 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | UCCS | L | 83 - 103 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Williams Jr. | - | 1 | 21.6 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 107 | 4.7 | 25.2 | 47.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.72 | 44.7 | 47.1 |
| Mekhi Martinez | - | 2 | 26.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 30 | 1.5 | 10.3 | 58.8 | 66.7 | 80.0 | 2.27 | 72.9 | 70.6 |
| Xavier Martinez | - | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.34 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Noah Simiskey | - | 2 | 26.2 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | - | 52.4 | 54.5 |
| Marzouq Ibn Abdur-Razaaq | - | 1 | 16.3 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 73 | 3.2 | 15.4 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.47 | 60.7 | 55.6 |
| Gavin Carter | - | 1 | 16.3 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | -19 | -1.1 | -6.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -3.33 | 93.5 | 100.0 |
| Derik Pranger | - | 1 | 14.9 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | -16 | -1.5 | -12.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.38 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Shawn Williams | - | 1 | 13.2 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 13 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 71.4 | 0 | 0 | 1.61 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Emmanuel Akpan | - | 2 | 22.4 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Malcolm Daniels | - | 2 | 12.2 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brady Jones | - | 1 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -29 | -4.8 | -71.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.05 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| James Ellis | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 10 | 0.7 | 25.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.45 | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Brody Hull | - | 1 | 18.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 86 | 3.9 | 19.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.73 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Tre Lucia | - | 1 | 15.9 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | 25 | 1.1 | 23.0 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.37 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Jezza McKenzie | - | 1 | 15.9 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 37 | 1.8 | 9.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Joshua Ray | - | 1 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 110 | 5.5 | 83.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.64 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Ellis Todd | - | 1 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Gunter Daniels | - | 1 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Greg Gerhardt | - | 1 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| JD Carson | - | 2 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Azar Ghezae | - | 1 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Evan McKean | - | 1 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 13 | 0.6 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nash Johnsen | - | 1 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG