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Bemidji St.

Season: 2025 2024 2022 2016
Also known as: Bemidji St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1053 (#239) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 831 (#662) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -20.0 (#604) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.992 (#148) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +40.7 More → 0.996 (#81) NetEff +40.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.3 More → 0.979 (#141) AdjNet +33.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +32.6 More → 0.980 (#143) AdjNet +32.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 54.1 More → 0.869 (#140) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 54.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 55.7 | AdjD 69.9 More → 0.215 (#654) AdjO 55.7 | AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.123 (#650) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.130 (#650) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 120 | GP 23 More → 729 (#523) RD 120 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.