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Bemidji St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Bemidji St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 858 (#242) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 883 (#239) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 873 (#552) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +4.1 (#182) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +7.6 (#197) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.469 (#188) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +35.5 More → 0.974 (#129) NetEff +35.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.4 More → 0.768 (#116) AdjNet +10.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.7 More → 0.776 (#114) AdjNet +10.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 73.5 More → 0.680 (#113) AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 73.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 73.3 More → 0.560 (#197) AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 73.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.520 (#299) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.512 (#303) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 6 More → 773 (#475) RD 140 | GP 6

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Henderson St. W 89 - 69
2025-11-15 vs Southern Ark. L 83 - 85
2025-11-21 vs Oak Hills Christian W 113 - 45
2025-11-25 @ Minn. Duluth L 67 - 77
2025-11-28 vs Saint Leo W 87 - 78
2025-11-29 @ Fla. Southern L 92 - 99
2025-12-04 vs MSU Moorhead L 60 - 90
2025-12-06 @ Minn.-Crookston W 87 - 77
2025-12-11 @ Jamestown L 94 - 98
2025-12-13 @ Northern St. W 66 - 63
2025-12-18 vs Mary W 89 - 77
2025-12-20 vs Minot St. L 83 - 89
2026-01-03 vs Minn. Duluth L 77 - 89
2026-01-09 vs Southwest Minn. St. L 55 - 85
2026-01-10 vs Sioux Falls L 94 - 97
2026-01-16 @ St. Cloud St. L 55 - 66
2026-01-17 @ Minnesota St. L 83 - 98
2026-01-23 vs Concordia-St. Paul L 95 - 99
2026-01-24 vs Winona St. L 83 - 86
2026-01-30 @ Augustana (SD) L 67 - 69
2026-01-31 @ Wayne St. (NE) L 67 - 76
2026-02-05 @ Minot St. L 65 - 72
2026-02-07 @ Mary W 74 - 73
2026-02-12 vs Northern St. W 86 - 71
2026-02-14 vs Jamestown L 67 - 74
2026-02-19 @ MSU Moorhead L 65 - 85
2026-02-21 vs Minn.-Crookston W 99 - 90

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
John Pecarich - 24 34.8 21.1 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.1 1.9 15.5 10.8 -1 19 -0.1 -0.1 44.2 40.4 87.7 -1.32 60.4 55.5
Tate Olson - 4 27.1 18.2 9.5 3.5 2.5 1.0 3.0 10.8 21.0 - - - - 58.1 47.1 75.0 1.74 70.5 67.4
Henry Shannon III - 24 34.4 17.2 8.8 1.8 1.3 2.3 2.7 12.9 15.8 25 19 1.3 1.7 56.3 12.5 64.6 1.24 58.6 56.5
Austin Josephson - 24 27.4 9.1 6.3 1.2 0.5 1.4 1.8 5.0 11.8 27 19 1.4 2.2 66.1 0 74.4 2.39 70.2 66.1
Dominic Fairbanks - 23 26.9 9.1 2.5 2.4 0.7 0.0 1.8 7.4 5.5 52 17 3.1 4.8 42.7 40.9 89.5 1.34 58.5 56.4
Eddie Jallow Hedqvist - 22 28.0 8.5 2.1 1.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.7 3.4 -6 18 -0.3 -0.6 39.6 35.4 75.0 -1.85 53.9 53.0
Nathan Fenske - 24 21.6 6.2 2.9 1.7 0.8 0.1 1.8 4.6 5.3 6 19 0.3 0.7 50.9 35.7 66.7 -1.53 58.2 55.5
Isaac Severts - 24 19.4 3.2 3.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.5 4.8 -1 18 -0.1 -0.1 39.3 35.1 72.7 -1.85 54.5 50.0
Isaak Eenhuis - 2 6.9 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 6.0 - - - - 50.0 50.0 50.0 - 64.7 75.0
Jobe Juenemann - 3 6.0 2.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 2.3 - - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 -1.45 138.9 150.0
Abu Keita - 2 7.4 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 2.0 - - - - 40.0 0 0.0 -0.56 36.8 40.0
Jordon VanWinkle - 1 8.6 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Logan Sipple - 8 7.6 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.4 -12 6 -2.0 -14.8 38.5 33.3 44.4 -2.78 44.2 42.3
Luke Diem - 6 5.5 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.5 -0.2 - - - - 11.1 0.0 100.0 -0.72 20.2 11.1

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG