Beloit
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 869 (#439) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 827 (#521) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 835 (#659) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -21.0 (#358) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -22.3 (#626) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.097 (#634) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.050 (#524) | NetEff -19.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.032 (#628) | AdjNet -29.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.029 (#627) | AdjNet -29.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.161 (#617) | AdjO 49.8 | AdjD 67.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.186 (#672) | AdjO 51.4 | AdjD 67.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.090 (#669) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.098 (#667) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 747 (#513) | RD 98 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Dominican (IL) | L | 47 - 68 |
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | L | 43 - 64 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Carroll (WI) | L | 45 - 72 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Illinois Tech | W | 62 - 50 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Edgewood | L | 51 - 63 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Blackburn | W | 75 - 70 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Grinnell | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Ripon | L | 25 - 79 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Aurora | L | 43 - 91 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | North Park | L | 41 - 63 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Lake Forest | W | 60 - 48 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Illinois Col. | L | 52 - 67 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Lawrence | L | 66 - 81 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Cornell College | L | 49 - 63 |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Grinnell | L | 46 - 62 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 56 - 49 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Knox | L | 57 - 87 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hailey Johnson | - | 19 | 32.6 | 13.6 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 11.5 | 10.4 | -171 | -5.2 | -35.3 | 39.7 | 26.9 | 79.5 | -0.49 | 50.1 | 42.9 |
| Julia Kennedy | - | 19 | 30.1 | 7.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | -188 | -9.4 | -41.6 | 32.2 | 32.3 | 72.7 | -2.44 | 46.3 | 42.7 |
| Bailey Darneal | - | 19 | 26.9 | 7.3 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 1.4 | -171 | -8.1 | -39.4 | 30.2 | 21.0 | 71.1 | -1.17 | 38.6 | 34.3 |
| Kaitlin Davis | - | 19 | 27.7 | 6.1 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 6.6 | 6.8 | -150 | -7.1 | -36.0 | 25.6 | 17.3 | 75.0 | 1.49 | 38.4 | 29.2 |
| Amaya Bridgewater | - | 9 | 16.7 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.2 | 2.2 | -37 | -4.1 | -42.3 | 35.7 | 21.4 | 70.6 | -0.85 | 43.3 | 38.4 |
| Aina Mallorqui | - | 19 | 23.8 | 5.6 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 3.0 | -146 | -7.0 | -40.4 | 37.0 | 29.4 | 65.1 | -0.06 | 47.8 | 42.4 |
| Kaelie Moreno | - | 8 | 20.4 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 1.4 | -6 | -0.9 | -7.6 | 30.0 | 31.8 | 54.5 | -1.02 | 43.3 | 38.8 |
| Brooke Foster | - | 19 | 19.7 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 1.6 | -211 | -10.0 | -70.9 | 37.5 | 29.2 | 37.5 | -5.45 | 41.6 | 41.5 |
| Kyana Aguilera | - | 8 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -32 | -3.2 | -393.8 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 55.6 | -0.2 | 58.5 | 56.2 |
| Sophia Corley | - | 17 | 10.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.8 | -76 | -4.2 | -30.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | -1.99 | 54.9 | 50.0 |
| Kylie Wolff | - | 10 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | -11 | -1.0 | -35.5 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.44 | 39.8 | 30.0 |
| Charlotte Stewart | - | 11 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | -26 | -2.0 | -47.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 14.3 | -2.06 | 23.2 | 25.0 |
| Helena Misic | - | 15 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | -58 | -3.2 | -113.2 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.13 | 18.2 | 18.2 |
| Madalyn Kavalary | - | 15 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -0.1 | -42 | -2.8 | -63.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.01 | 21.0 | 0.0 |
| Haily Atkinson | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ava Morello | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG