Beloit
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 679 (#396) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 748 (#372) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 816 (#744) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.3 (#307) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -17.9 (#653) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.405 (#234) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.157 (#278) | AdjNet -14.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.150 (#278) | AdjNet -14.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.277 (#275) | AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 73.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.288 (#682) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 73.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.167 (#700) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.172 (#702) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 742 (#589) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Franciscan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Oberlin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Carroll (WI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Maranatha Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Eureka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Blackburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Grinnell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Ripon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Lakeland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Marian (WI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Rockford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Illinois Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Knox | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Lake Forest | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Illinois Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Cornell College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Grinnell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Lake Forest | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Knox | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Cornell College | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Lawrence | L | 58 - 77 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Ripon | L | 58 - 65 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Carter | - | 23 | 33.5 | 14.9 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 12.2 | 8.3 | - | - | - | - | 39.5 | 36.9 | 73.1 | - | 52.5 | 47.5 |
| Semaj Roy | - | 21 | 23.7 | 10.0 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 9.3 | 7.9 | - | - | - | - | 36.9 | 14.8 | 58.2 | - | 43.9 | 39.0 |
| Dae'Quan Davis | - | 22 | 18.1 | 8.6 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 8.2 | 5.1 | - | - | - | - | 41.7 | 15.4 | 89.7 | - | 47.9 | 42.8 |
| Tommy Glenn | - | 23 | 23.4 | 6.8 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5.7 | 7.9 | - | - | - | - | 40.9 | 37.3 | 69.2 | - | 52.6 | 49.2 |
| Will Schubert | - | 22 | 18.8 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.4 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 34.5 | 33.3 | 70.6 | - | 47.0 | 45.0 |
| Owen Geiger | - | 21 | 19.5 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 | - | - | - | - | 42.9 | 35.7 | 86.4 | - | 55.6 | 51.1 |
| Lathan Lewis | - | 23 | 20.6 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 4.6 | - | - | - | - | 43.3 | 27.0 | 55.6 | - | 49.6 | 48.1 |
| Austin Walker | - | 23 | 18.1 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 3.1 | - | - | - | - | 53.9 | 35.7 | 77.8 | - | 63.2 | 60.5 |
| Zayn Young | - | 15 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | 40.5 | 18.2 | 33.3 | - | 42.6 | 42.9 |
| Diego Perez | - | 7 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 38.5 | 40.0 | 50.0 | - | 54.0 | 53.8 |
| Miles Anderson | - | 4 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Dasan Reed | - | 20 | 6.9 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | 36.8 | 0.0 | 71.4 | - | 43.0 | 36.8 |
| Ebrahim Jarjue | - | 16 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | 40.9 | 0.0 | 55.6 | - | 46.8 | 40.9 |
| Mason Stieber Pinter | - | 3 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.3 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Musa Samba | - | 9 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | -0.1 | - | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 22.0 | 20.0 |
| Olin Emerson | - | 21 | 9.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 45.5 | - | 29.5 | 25.0 |
| Luka Sparavalo | - | 1 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Josh Ruiz | - | 2 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG