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Beloit

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Beloit
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 818 (#601) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 839 (#560) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 816 (#744) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -11.8 (#280) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -17.9 (#653) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.405 (#526) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.6 More → 0.157 (#575) AdjNet -14.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.9 More → 0.150 (#577) AdjNet -14.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.277 (#568) AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 73.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 73.7 More → 0.288 (#682) AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 73.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.167 (#700) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.172 (#702) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 22 More → 745 (#595) RD 102 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Franciscan L 68 - 70
2025-11-08 @ Oberlin L 43 - 57
2025-11-12 @ Carroll (WI) L 61 - 63
2025-11-14 @ Maranatha Baptist W 86 - 50
2025-11-20 vs Eureka W 77 - 63
2025-11-22 vs Blackburn W 67 - 63
2025-11-25 @ Grinnell L 88 - 104
2025-12-02 vs Ripon L 46 - 59
2025-12-16 vs Lakeland W 86 - 67
2025-12-18 @ Marian (WI) L 51 - 63
2025-12-30 @ Rockford W 78 - 53
2026-01-03 @ Illinois Col. L 53 - 79
2026-01-07 vs Knox L 58 - 77
2026-01-10 vs Monmouth (IL) L 55 - 87
2026-01-13 @ Lake Forest L 61 - 69
2026-01-17 vs Illinois Col. L 51 - 61
2026-01-21 @ Lawrence L 58 - 64
2026-01-24 vs Cornell College L 53 - 83
2026-01-27 vs Grinnell L 76 - 98
2026-01-31 @ Monmouth (IL) L 66 - 74
2026-02-04 vs Lake Forest L 92 - 98
2026-02-07 @ Knox L 74 - 86

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anthony Carter - 22 33.3 14.7 3.2 2.5 1.2 0.1 1.7 12.0 8.1 -106 -5.6 -21.3 39.5 37.9 73.5 -0.03 52.9 47.9
Semaj Roy - 20 24.7 10.4 7.0 1.3 0.7 0.4 1.8 9.8 8.3 -85 -5.3 -36.3 36.9 14.8 58.2 -1.93 43.9 39.0
Dae'Quan Davis - 21 18.0 8.6 4.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.4 8.2 4.9 -15 -0.9 -6.8 42.2 16.7 88.6 1.27 48.0 43.4
Tommy Glenn - 22 23.2 7.0 4.8 1.0 0.9 1.4 1.0 5.6 8.4 -66 -3.5 -22.6 41.9 39.3 69.2 0.55 54.2 50.8
Will Schubert - 21 19.4 5.7 2.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.5 5.6 1.7 -68 -3.6 -31.7 34.7 33.8 70.6 -0.66 47.4 45.3
Owen Geiger - 20 19.0 5.3 2.4 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.8 4.3 4.5 -24 -1.5 -7.0 43.7 35.9 85.0 0.64 55.8 51.7
Lathan Lewis - 22 20.7 5.0 2.9 1.4 1.0 0.1 1.3 4.6 4.5 -111 -6.2 -40.6 42.6 25.7 55.6 -3.28 48.7 47.0
Austin Walker - 22 17.5 4.4 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.0 1.6 3.1 3.1 -39 -2.2 -13.1 54.4 33.3 82.4 -0.39 63.6 60.3
Zayn Young - 14 10.2 2.4 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.1 1.1 2.8 0.8 -24 -1.7 -22.1 38.5 18.2 25.0 -1.18 40.5 41.0
Diego Perez - 7 4.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 0.4 -3 -0.4 -18.8 38.5 40.0 50.0 -1.75 54.0 53.8
Miles Anderson - 4 2.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.2 -88 -4.9 -33.4 60.0 50.0 0 -0.59 80.0 80.0
Dasan Reed - 20 6.9 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.7 1.9 1.6 -3 -0.2 -3.5 36.8 0.0 71.4 -0.32 43.0 36.8
Ebrahim Jarjue - 16 6.8 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.1 -26 -1.9 -21.9 40.9 0.0 55.6 0.04 46.8 40.9
Mason Stieber Pinter - 3 4.8 1.7 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.3 8 4.0 286.6 100.0 100.0 0 -0.19 125.0 125.0
Olin Emerson - 20 9.6 0.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.0 2 0.1 1.9 21.7 0 62.5 -0.0 28.3 21.7
Musa Samba - 9 2.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7 -0.1 -16 -2.0 -67.5 20.0 0.0 50.0 -1.31 22.0 20.0
Josh Ruiz - 2 3.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -0.5 57 3.8 23.3 0.0 0 0 1.87 0.0 0.0
Luka Sparavalo - 1 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG