Belmont Abbey
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1135 (#68) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1141 (#69) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1101 (#71) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.7 (#150) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.5 (#243) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.918 (#177) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.783 (#196) | NetEff +9.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.887 (#213) | AdjNet +17.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.874 (#233) | AdjNet +16.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.680 (#270) | AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 53.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.648 (#123) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 59.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.659 (#225) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.675 (#202) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1137 (#87) | RD 104 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Mars Hill | W | 72 - 60 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Emory & Henry | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Anderson (SC) | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | W | 86 - 83 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | King (TN) | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | USC Aiken | W | 62 - 57 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Young Harris | W | 44 - 28 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Converse | W | 72 - 59 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Lees-McRae | W | 78 - 77 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Augusta | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Wingate | L | 51 - 86 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | North Greenville | W | 79 - 44 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | UNC Pembroke | L | 55 - 61 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Ferrum | W | 67 - 38 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Chowan | W | 63 - 56 |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Mount Olive | W | 72 - 60 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | King (TN) | W | 90 - 59 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Converse | W | 79 - 64 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Francis Marion | L | 61 - 70 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenna Nix | - | 1 | 31.0 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | -82 | -4.8 | -29.3 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.88 | 49.2 | 38.5 |
| Monique Emelifeonwu | - | 1 | 35.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | -133 | -7.8 | -35.9 | 45.5 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -1.28 | 54.7 | 54.5 |
| Leigha Dennison | - | 19 | 26.0 | 11.2 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 9.8 | 7.4 | 84 | 4.2 | 21.3 | 45.2 | 25.0 | 80.4 | -0.54 | 50.9 | 46.0 |
| Ioanna Stefanaki | - | 1 | 34.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 12 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 44.4 | 42.9 | 0 | 2.68 | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| Riley James | - | 19 | 30.8 | 9.9 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 161 | 8.1 | 36.0 | 38.9 | 37.5 | 77.2 | 4.02 | 50.2 | 44.4 |
| Kallie Lusk | - | 18 | 17.4 | 9.9 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 67 | 3.5 | 25.0 | 53.6 | 0 | 77.6 | 1.87 | 61.5 | 53.6 |
| Janiah Shular | - | 16 | 23.7 | 7.8 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 6.5 | 8.4 | 43 | 2.7 | 20.7 | 39.4 | 12.5 | 68.3 | 1.15 | 47.5 | 39.9 |
| Brielle George | - | 19 | 20.8 | 7.5 | 8.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 9.5 | 92 | 4.6 | 37.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 70.8 | 0.99 | 52.4 | 50.0 |
| Madison Lusk | - | 19 | 26.7 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 131 | 6.5 | 31.3 | 37.6 | 37.5 | 82.6 | 3.14 | 52.9 | 49.6 |
| Morgan McDermott | - | 1 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | -70 | -4.1 | -26.9 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 0 | -2.85 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Sofia McNabb | - | 16 | 11.8 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 67 | 4.2 | 39.2 | 41.9 | 34.4 | 82.4 | 0.56 | 53.4 | 49.3 |
| Ava Fulkerson | - | 14 | 12.9 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 29 | 2.1 | 14.6 | 42.6 | 38.5 | 66.7 | 1.89 | 55.5 | 53.2 |
| Nika Kurdija | - | 1 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -48 | -3.4 | -19.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.06 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Isabella Martin | - | 19 | 21.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 58 | 2.9 | 21.0 | 27.5 | 26.0 | 88.9 | -2.73 | 37.4 | 34.6 |
| Reagan Iovino | - | 12 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 0.7 | 20.7 | 32.1 | 34.6 | 0 | 0.68 | 48.2 | 48.2 |
| Mahkayla Premo | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | -90 | -6.0 | -31.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -1.13 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Zenia Palaska | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -36 | -2.1 | -19.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Lillian Bates | - | 13 | 9.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | -4 | -0.3 | -2.3 | 41.7 | 0 | 83.3 | -0.8 | 46.9 | 41.7 |
| Valeria Batista | - | 12 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 3.1 | -24 | -1.8 | -92.3 | 47.4 | 0 | 80.0 | -0.1 | 51.9 | 47.4 |
| Claire Griffin | - | 7 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 18 | 2.2 | 270.0 | 57.1 | 25.0 | 0.0 | -0.21 | 54.1 | 64.3 |
| Katie Story | - | 7 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | -5 | -0.6 | -13.4 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.98 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Emily Driver | - | 6 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | -13 | -2.2 | -42.6 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -2.32 | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| Audra Hillman | - | 10 | 4.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | -13 | -1.3 | -11.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -2.26 | 11.8 | 0.0 |
| Sydney Martin | - | 6 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | -10 | -1.4 | -53.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.17 | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Makaylei Snyder | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -18 | -1.4 | -16.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Riley Miller | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | -46 | -4.6 | -30.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG