Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 976 (#331) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 953 (#346) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 983 (#485) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.0 (#284) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.021 (#606) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.208 (#363) | NetEff -10.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.111 (#582) | AdjNet -18.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.115 (#581) | AdjNet -17.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.253 (#590) | AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 72.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.506 (#349) | AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.524 (#334) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.515 (#337) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 931 (#323) | RD 300 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Emporia St. | L | 65 - 73 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakiyyah Muhammad | - | 1 | 31.1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 25.0 | 85.7 | - | 53.3 | 40.9 |
| Joy Beran | - | 1 | 26.9 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 83.3 | - | 63.7 | 50.0 |
| Drasoni Kyles | - | 1 | 26.6 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Karoline Ellison | - | 1 | 18.2 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 63.0 | 66.7 |
| Jhanel Coleman | - | 1 | 26.1 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | -19 | -2.7 | -65.2 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.91 | 51.0 | 50.0 |
| Dru Zoucha | - | 1 | 24.9 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 52.5 | 33.3 |
| Emma Russell | - | 1 | 17.2 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Tarryn Godsey | - | 1 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Taylee Wharton | - | 1 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Danielle Coyer | - | 1 | 13.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Mailey Malone | - | 1 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG