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Bellarmine

Season: 2026 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020
Also known as: Bellarmine
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#311) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1077 (#185) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1009 (#370) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +21.7 (#109) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.998 (#112) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +34.0 More → 0.981 (#74) AdjNet +34.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +34.1 More → 0.983 (#74) AdjNet +34.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 88.5 | AdjD 62.4 More → 0.915 (#74) AdjO 88.5 | AdjD 62.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 70.7 More → 0.650 (#147) AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 70.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.846 (#62) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.811 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1082 (#223) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-12 vs Hanover W 94 - 55

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kenyon Goodin - 1 22.1 19.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 19.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 - 127.7 128.6
Brian Waddell - 1 20.7 17.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 14.0 - - - 85.7 0 83.3 - 88.2 85.7
Michael Wilson Jr. - 1 17.5 12.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 13.0 2 1.0 4.1 44.4 50.0 75.0 -0.0 55.8 50.0
Tyler Doyle - 1 16.1 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 103.1 100.0
Grant Neal - 1 9.6 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 - - - 60.0 100.0 50.0 - 68.0 70.0
Donovan Hunter - 1 15.3 7.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 -45 -2.5 -12.8 42.9 25.0 0 0.32 50.0 50.0
Myles Watkins - 1 16.3 6.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 61.5 50.0
Tommy Clark - 1 14.3 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 -35 -2.2 -8.0 40.0 33.3 0 1.65 50.0 50.0
Dominique Murphy Jr - 1 8.3 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Grant Whitaker - 1 19.9 4.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 0.0 - 36.8 40.0
Darrius Bolden - 1 19.5 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Jacob Wassler - 1 20.4 2.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 9.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 17.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG