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Bates

Season:
Also known as: Bates
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1171 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1344 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1279 (#7) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +17.6 (#44) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +19.3 (#121) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.819 (#293) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.5 More → 0.928 (#140) NetEff +18.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +27.5 More → 0.960 (#160) AdjNet +27.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.1 More → 0.960 (#160) AdjNet +27.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 55.1 More → 0.807 (#173) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 55.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 49.0 More → 0.865 (#28) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 49.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.920 (#56) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.920 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 21 More → 1424 (#8) RD 106 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.