Barton
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1004 (#156) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 913 (#221) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 967 (#443) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -0.1 (#228) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -0.1 (#331) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.520 (#158) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.952 (#159) | NetEff +26.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.550 (#214) | AdjNet +1.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.556 (#214) | AdjNet +1.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.529 (#216) | AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 81.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.529 (#253) | AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.476 (#334) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.486 (#327) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 902 (#363) | RD 94 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Wingate | L | 92 - 94 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Augusta | L | 81 - 83 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Shaw | L | 82 - 83 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Emory & Henry | L | 84 - 85 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Middle Georgia | L | 77 - 95 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | UNC Pembroke | L | 71 - 92 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Winston-Salem | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Chowan | L | 82 - 89 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Shorter | W | 93 - 87 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 98 - 76 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Virginia St. | L | 66 - 94 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Young Harris | L | 92 - 101 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Ferrum | L | 78 - 79 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lees-McRae | W | 88 - 67 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Francis Marion | L | 59 - 61 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Converse | W | 89 - 86 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | North Greenville | W | 89 - 54 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Erskine | W | 92 - 56 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 70 - 85 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Ferrum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | L | 76 - 79 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | King (TN) | W | 89 - 74 |
| 2026-02-11 | @ | Mount Olive | W | 85 - 84 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Belmont Abbey | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Chowan | W | 89 - 75 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2026-02-25 | @ | Francis Marion | W | 87 - 80 |
| 2026-03-01 | vs | Shorter | W | 93 - 68 |
| 2026-03-02 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 77 - 81 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Fields | - | 29 | 27.5 | 14.0 | 8.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 9.7 | 13.7 | 35 | 20 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 47.5 | 42.2 | 80.0 | -0.22 | 60.1 | 53.8 |
| Jaylen Faber | - | 29 | 28.3 | 13.6 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 10.7 | 7.8 | 51 | 20 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 40.2 | 38.6 | 81.3 | -0.05 | 57.3 | 53.5 |
| Trevur Smalls | - | 29 | 30.3 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 8.0 | 11.1 | 79 | 20 | 4.0 | 5.6 | 48.9 | 31.0 | 77.1 | 3.43 | 61.4 | 53.6 |
| Sean Quick-Streeter | - | 29 | 23.0 | 11.8 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 9.9 | 7.7 | 4 | 20 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 40.8 | 21.6 | 71.4 | -2.05 | 50.1 | 44.1 |
| Isaiah Davis | - | 29 | 18.1 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 5.9 | 6.8 | 25 | 20 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 53.5 | 41.5 | 71.1 | -1.83 | 62.0 | 59.9 |
| Caleb Reams | - | 29 | 30.3 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 7.2 | 5.6 | 42 | 20 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 39.4 | 36.6 | 78.6 | -0.26 | 50.1 | 46.6 |
| Christian Taylor | - | 29 | 13.4 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 3.5 | -11 | 20 | -0.6 | -1.9 | 48.5 | 31.7 | 73.3 | -2.07 | 59.4 | 54.9 |
| Chris Nobles | - | 24 | 16.1 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.5 | 4.1 | -13 | 15 | -0.9 | -2.2 | 57.6 | 0.0 | 52.8 | -3.76 | 58.0 | 57.6 |
| Nick Evans | - | 27 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 22 | 19 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 75.8 | 0 | 53.8 | 1.17 | 73.6 | 75.8 |
| J.J. Dancy | - | 23 | 7.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 6 | 16 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 32.4 | 32.3 | 100.0 | -1.62 | 47.5 | 45.9 |
| Da'Kari Jones | - | 6 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -0.2 | -1 | 5 | -0.2 | -2.8 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.3 | 38.9 | 38.9 |
| Daniel Greene | - | 6 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.37 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Justice Mitchell | - | 4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.37 | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Owen Pedersen | - | 6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.12 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Jackson Lavengood | - | 6 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 16.7 | -0.21 | 18.9 | 0 |
| Kyshon Atkinson | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chandler Olokor | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Bryson Summerlin | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG