Barton
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 984 (#214) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 896 (#447) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 967 (#443) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.3 (#247) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.1 (#331) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.520 (#324) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.952 (#165) | NetEff +26.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.550 (#395) | AdjNet +1.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.556 (#393) | AdjNet +1.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.529 (#393) | AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 81.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.529 (#253) | AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.476 (#334) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.486 (#327) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 906 (#346) | RD 95 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Wingate | L | 92 - 94 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Augusta | L | 81 - 83 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Shaw | L | 82 - 83 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Emory & Henry | L | 84 - 85 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Middle Georgia | L | 77 - 95 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | UNC Pembroke | L | 71 - 92 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Winston-Salem | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Chowan | L | 82 - 89 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Shorter | W | 93 - 87 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 98 - 76 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Virginia St. | L | 66 - 94 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Young Harris | L | 92 - 101 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Ferrum | L | 78 - 79 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lees-McRae | W | 88 - 67 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Francis Marion | L | 59 - 61 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Converse | W | 89 - 86 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | North Greenville | W | 89 - 54 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Erskine | W | 92 - 56 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 70 - 85 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Ferrum | L | 76 - 81 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | L | 76 - 79 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | King (TN) | W | 89 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordyn Surratt | - | 1 | 37.7 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 30.0 | 106 | 6.6 | 51.1 | 54.5 | 50.0 | 93.8 | 2.37 | 77.6 | 59.1 |
| Will Fowler | - | 1 | 36.8 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 15.0 | -6 | -0.4 | -3.0 | 47.4 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 1.18 | 62.6 | 57.9 |
| Tre Locklear | - | 1 | 38.2 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 62.5 | 57.1 | 100.0 | 0.81 | 90.1 | 87.5 |
| Jaylen Faber | - | 22 | 28.6 | 14.3 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | 15 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 38.9 | 37.7 | 79.1 | -0.73 | 56.0 | 52.0 |
| Trey Fields | - | 22 | 27.1 | 14.2 | 8.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 9.4 | 13.8 | -26 | -1.1 | -7.2 | 48.5 | 42.6 | 82.1 | -2.27 | 61.9 | 54.9 |
| Trevur Smalls | - | 22 | 30.1 | 13.4 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 8.1 | 11.0 | 72 | 3.1 | 18.2 | 51.7 | 35.3 | 78.0 | 0.79 | 63.9 | 56.7 |
| Sean Quick-Streeter | - | 22 | 22.9 | 11.4 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 10.2 | 7.3 | 63 | 2.7 | 21.7 | 40.2 | 20.8 | 67.5 | 3.35 | 48.2 | 43.5 |
| Latavian Lawrence | - | 1 | 16.6 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -11 | -0.7 | -8.6 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -1.9 | 65.4 | 58.3 |
| Caleb Reams | - | 22 | 30.4 | 7.4 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 28 | 1.3 | 5.4 | 35.9 | 35.5 | 79.5 | 1.03 | 47.9 | 43.1 |
| Chris Nobles | - | 18 | 18.1 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 20 | 1.1 | 11.5 | 60.5 | 0.0 | 52.8 | 0.32 | 60.4 | 60.5 |
| Christian Taylor | - | 22 | 13.4 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 51 | 2.5 | 15.9 | 50.6 | 37.1 | 75.8 | 2.09 | 62.1 | 58.0 |
| Isaiah Davis | - | 22 | 16.2 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | -43 | -2.0 | -17.0 | 46.0 | 32.1 | 71.4 | -0.32 | 53.9 | 50.5 |
| Ethan Brownell | - | 1 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -5.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.29 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Camden Edmonds | - | 1 | 35.5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 14 | 0.8 | 6.7 | 10.0 | 11.1 | 0 | 0.76 | 15.0 | 15.0 |
| Nick Evans | - | 20 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 55.6 | -1.47 | 73.3 | 75.0 |
| Daniel Greene | - | 4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| J.J. Dancy | - | 18 | 6.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 38 | 2.2 | 53.4 | 25.0 | 26.3 | 100.0 | -0.86 | 38.2 | 35.4 |
| Owen Pedersen | - | 4 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Jackson Lavengood | - | 4 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 16.7 | - | 18.9 | 0 |
| Ioannis Donakis | - | 1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -5 | -0.3 | -4.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 |
| Chrisean Oree | - | 1 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | 5 | 0.4 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.76 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jonathon Pickering | - | 1 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -49 | -3.3 | -110.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Finley Pruever | - | 1 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 41 | 3.4 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG