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Barclay

Season: 2026 2024 2023
Also known as: Barclay
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 955 (#457) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 885 (#510) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 986 (#540) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -28.2 (#746) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.020 (#776) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -33.0 More → 0.021 (#749) AdjNet -33.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -33.9 More → 0.018 (#754) AdjNet -33.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 106.4 More → 0.042 (#783) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 106.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 76.8 More → 0.443 (#524) AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 76.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.176 (#690) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.219 (#658) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 902 (#472) RD 350 | GP 1

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-10 @ Grinnell L 81 - 155

2023 Roster

No roster data available for this season.