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Barclay

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2019 2017
Also known as: Barclay
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 927 (#391) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 981 (#392) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -69.7 (#323) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -58.0 (#601) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.003 (#706) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -43.1 More → 0.006 (#753) AdjNet -43.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -43.0 More → 0.006 (#754) AdjNet -43.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 102.4 More → 0.038 (#755) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 102.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 80.2 More → 0.278 (#552) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 80.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.039 (#598) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.061 (#597) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 903 (#351) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 @ Newman L 42 - 117

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alton Luckenbihl - 1 26.5 12.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 4.0 - - - 33.3 25.0 100.0 - 45.0 37.5
Will Ware - 1 25.4 9.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 -2.0 - - - 37.5 50.0 0 - 56.2 56.2
Tyler Hinton - 1 22.1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 -4.0 - - - 28.6 50.0 0 - 42.9 42.9
Cornelius Tembo - 1 18.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Camron Milsap - 1 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Martagus Newton - 1 27.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG