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Ball State

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Also known as: Ball State Cardinals, Ball State
Program History
Coach: Tim Buckley

2005 Team Stats (1 games)

53.0
PPG
73.0
Opp
-20.0
Margin
36.1%
FG%
35.0%
3P%
50.0%
FT%
35.0
RPG
9.0
APG
19.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.2
Adj PPG
65.9
Adj Opp PPG
#101
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1027 (#135) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1056 (#122) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +110 elo More → 991 (#178) HCA +110 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → +5.1 (#99) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More → +3.9 (#107) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.540 (#135) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.6 More → 0.681 (#110) AdjNet +6.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.6 More → 0.683 (#110) AdjNet +6.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 65.9 More → 0.598 (#101) AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 65.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.545 (#115) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 66.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.585 (#114) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.575 (#114) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 27 More → 1039 (#130) RD 140 | GP 27

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-23 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 53 - 73
2004-11-27 @ Detroit Mercy Titans W 59 - 44
2004-12-01 vs Wright State Raiders W 61 - 54
2004-12-04 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks L 75 - 83
2004-12-08 vs Anderson (IN) Ravens W 106 - 53
2004-12-11 vs IUPUI Jaguars W 80 - 73
2004-12-18 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 65 - 59
2004-12-22 @ Butler Bulldogs L 68 - 74
2004-12-28 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 59 - 71
2005-01-02 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 76 - 67
2005-01-05 vs Ohio Bobcats W 81 - 80
2005-01-12 @ Toledo Rockets L 67 - 77
2005-01-18 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 86 - 62
2005-01-22 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 66 - 65
2005-01-25 @ Akron Zips L 64 - 79
2005-01-29 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 67 - 59
2005-01-31 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 96 - 86
2005-02-03 @ Central Michigan Chippewas W 69 - 56
2005-02-06 vs Marshall Thundering Herd L 81 - 90
2005-02-09 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks L 52 - 54
2005-02-12 @ Buffalo Bulls L 58 - 67
2005-02-16 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 69 - 70
2005-02-19 vs Drexel Dragons L 70 - 74
2005-02-24 vs Toledo Rockets W 63 - 59
2005-02-27 @ Northern Illinois Huskies L 67 - 70
2005-03-02 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles W 71 - 56
2005-03-05 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 88 - 81
2005-03-07 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 73 - 75

2005 Roster

No roster data available for this season.