Ball State
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1229 (#52) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1176 (#49) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1100 (#40) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.6 (#49) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.8 (#64) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.704 (#60) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.801 (#65) | AdjNet +12.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.803 (#65) | AdjNet +12.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.694 (#55) | AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.620 (#62) | AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.728 (#57) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.715 (#59) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1112 (#80) | RD 92 | GP 34 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-19 | N | Kansas | W | 93 - 91 |
| 2001-11-20 | N | UCLA | W | 91 - 73 |
| 2001-11-21 | N | Duke | L | 71 - 83 |
| 2001-11-30 | vs | Elon | W | 106 - 65 |
| 2001-12-01 | vs | Austin Peay | W | 81 - 60 |
| 2001-12-08 | @ | Indiana | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2001-12-15 | @ | IU Indy | W | 103 - 81 |
| 2001-12-19 | vs | Butler | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2001-12-22 | @ | Indiana State | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2001-12-29 | N | Oklahoma State | L | 70 - 82 |
| 2002-01-02 | @ | Kent State | L | 54 - 81 |
| 2002-01-05 | @ | Eastern Michigan | W | 63 - 45 |
| 2002-01-09 | vs | Central Michigan | W | 89 - 77 |
| 2002-01-12 | @ | Toledo | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2002-01-16 | vs | Bowling Green | W | 92 - 79 |
| 2002-01-19 | vs | Akron | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2002-01-23 | vs | Western Michigan | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2002-01-26 | @ | Miami (OH) | L | 77 - 80 |
| 2002-01-29 | @ | Marshall | L | 95 - 98 |
| 2002-02-02 | vs | Eastern Michigan | W | 90 - 56 |
| 2002-02-05 | @ | Northern Illinois | W | 86 - 81 |
| 2002-02-09 | @ | Ohio | L | 71 - 85 |
| 2002-02-13 | vs | Buffalo | W | 87 - 63 |
| 2002-02-16 | vs | Toledo | W | 81 - 63 |
| 2002-02-20 | @ | Western Michigan | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2002-02-23 | vs | Miami (OH) | W | 74 - 58 |
| 2002-02-27 | vs | Northern Illinois | L | 68 - 69 |
| 2002-03-02 | @ | Central Michigan | W | 81 - 77 |
| 2002-03-07 | N | Miami (OH) | W | 62 - 50 |
| 2002-03-08 | N | Bowling Green | L | 57 - 69 |
| 2002-03-12 | vs | South Florida | W | 98 - 92 |
| 2002-03-15 | @ | Saint Joseph's | W | 76 - 54 |
| 2002-03-19 | @ | Louisiana State | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2002-03-21 | @ | South Carolina | L | 47 - 82 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.