Ball State
Model Outputs
1992-1993
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1184 (#64) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1135 (#74) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1129 (#27) | HCA +108 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.1 (#108) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.1 (#81) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.740 (#43) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.629 (#103) | AdjNet +4.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.629 (#103) | AdjNet +4.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.551 (#116) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 67.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.601 (#72) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 67.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.657 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.666 (#73) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1138 (#71) | RD 112 | GP 32 |
1993 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-12-04 | vs | Maryland–Eastern Shore | W | 67 - 47 |
| 1992-12-05 | vs | Saint Peter's | W | 63 - 50 |
| 1992-12-07 | vs | Xavier | L | 78 - 81 |
| 1992-12-09 | vs | Indiana State | W | 66 - 64 |
| 1992-12-12 | @ | Valparaiso | L | 75 - 78 |
| 1992-12-14 | vs | Chicago State | W | 75 - 69 |
| 1992-12-23 | @ | Butler | L | 49 - 63 |
| 1992-12-28 | N | Marist | W | 78 - 64 |
| 1992-12-29 | N | Liberty | W | 90 - 80 |
| 1992-12-30 | N | San Francisco | W | 81 - 72 |
| 1993-01-05 | @ | Miami (OH) | L | 50 - 65 |
| 1993-01-09 | vs | Western Michigan | W | 70 - 65 |
| 1993-01-13 | @ | Ohio | W | 78 - 64 |
| 1993-01-16 | vs | Central Michigan | W | 73 - 48 |
| 1993-01-20 | vs | Bowling Green | W | 61 - 59 |
| 1993-01-23 | vs | Eastern Michigan | W | 66 - 62 |
| 1993-01-27 | @ | Toledo | L | 78 - 81 |
| 1993-01-30 | vs | Kent State | W | 59 - 51 |
| 1993-02-03 | vs | Akron | W | 60 - 50 |
| 1993-02-06 | @ | Western Michigan | L | 55 - 66 |
| 1993-02-10 | vs | Ohio | W | 72 - 52 |
| 1993-02-13 | @ | Central Michigan | W | 84 - 81 |
| 1993-02-17 | vs | Bowling Green | W | 66 - 50 |
| 1993-02-20 | @ | Eastern Michigan | W | 77 - 57 |
| 1993-02-25 | vs | Toledo | W | 78 - 64 |
| 1993-02-27 | @ | Kent State | W | 77 - 63 |
| 1993-03-03 | @ | Akron | L | 70 - 83 |
| 1993-03-06 | vs | Miami (OH) | W | 72 - 63 |
| 1993-03-11 | N | Kent State | W | 77 - 57 |
| 1993-03-12 | N | Toledo | W | 72 - 64 |
| 1993-03-13 | N | Western Michigan | W | 79 - 64 |
| 1993-03-18 | N | Kansas | L | 72 - 94 |
1993 Roster
No roster data available for this season.