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Ball State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Ball State Cardinals
Program History
Coach: Brady Sallee

2027 Team Stats (1 games)

84.0
PPG
74.0
Opp
+10.0
Margin
44.3%
FG%
26.3%
3P%
69.4%
FT%
51.0
RPG
15.0
APG
26.0
TO
85.8
Est. poss./game
60.8
Adj PPG
63.5
Adj Opp PPG
#155
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1219 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1126, returning +171, transfers -79, freshmen +0 More → 1240 (#57) Preseason prior 1219 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1126, returning +171, transfers -79, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1029 (#67) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +220 elo More → 1029 (#57) HCA +220 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +17.7 More → -3.8 (#152) HCA +17.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.811 (#93) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.4 More → 0.811 (#85) NetEff +11.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.2 More → 0.619 (#93) AdjNet +4.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.2 More → 0.619 (#93) AdjNet +4.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 63.5 More → 0.440 (#155) AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 63.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 63.5 More → 0.440 (#154) AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 63.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.519 (#106) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.519 (#106) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 1107 (#25) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 84 - 74
2026-11-07 vs High Point Panthers - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Grace Kingery Grace Kingery G 1 36.0 33.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 22.0 15.0 - - - - 45.5 33.3 81.8 - 61.5 54.5
Lilli Barnes Lilli Barnes G 1 30.0 18.0 15.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 7.0 25.0 - - - - 57.1 0 76.9 - 70.8 57.1
Tessa Towers Tessa Towers C 1 26.0 17.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 13.0 15.0 - - - - 53.8 0 75.0 - 57.6 53.8
Helen Holley Helen Holley F 1 14.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 - - - - 60.0 0.0 0.0 - 51.0 60.0
Aniss Tagayi Aniss Tagayi F 1 25.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 - - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 51.2 50.0
Zhen Verburgt Zhen Verburgt F 1 8.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 - - - - 20.0 25.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Karsyn Norman Karsyn Norman G 1 23.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
Giorgia Gorini Giorgia Gorini G 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Klaske Miedema Klaske Miedema F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Faith Walker Faith Walker G 1 29.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

56 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Towers33% Kingery56% Towers100% Kingery100% Kingery100% Kingery100% Kingery100%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Towers50% Towers25% Kingery100% Tagayi100% Kingery100% Kingery50% Kingery71%
Misses: who misses most here

Grace KingeryTessa TowersAniss Tagayi

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 12-18 66.7 24 Tessa Towers 33% (8 pts) Lilli Barnes 25% (6 pts) Tessa Towers 50% (3 misses) Grace Kingery 17% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 9-21 42.9 18 Grace Kingery 56% (10 pts) Tessa Towers 22% (4 pts) Tessa Towers 25% (3 misses) Faith Walker 17% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 0-1 0.0 0 - - Grace Kingery 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 1-2 50.0 2 Tessa Towers 100% (2 pts) - Aniss Tagayi 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Left corner 3 1-2 50.0 3 Grace Kingery 100% (3 pts) - Grace Kingery 100% (1 misses) -
Right corner 3 1-3 33.3 3 Grace Kingery 100% (3 pts) - Grace Kingery 50% (1 misses) Helen Holley 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 1-8 12.5 3 Grace Kingery 100% (3 pts) - Grace Kingery 71% (5 misses) Karsyn Norman 14% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-1 100.0 3 Grace Kingery 100% (3 pts) - - -
Above-break 3 right 0-0 - 0 - - - -