Ball St.
Also known as: Ball St.
Program History
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1014 (#352) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1020 (#353) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 980 (#554) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +33.6 (#43) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.989 (#177) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.981 (#78) | AdjNet +33.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.981 (#88) | AdjNet +32.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.887 (#110) | AdjO 85.9 | AdjD 63.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.812 (#21) | AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.919 (#22) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.906 (#16) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1028 (#319) | RD 284 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Copeland | - | 1 | 22.1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 71.2 | 80.0 |
| Devon Barnes | - | 1 | 27.6 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | - | 82.4 | 77.8 |
| Kody Clancy | - | 1 | 27.2 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 33.3 | - | 75.1 | 83.3 |
| Elmore James | - | 1 | 27.3 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Armoni Zeigler | - | 1 | 26.4 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 47.9 | 50.0 |
| Mason Jones | - | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 13 | 0.9 | 27.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.72 | 133.3 | 133.3 |
| Easton Foster | - | 1 | 12.1 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | - | 56.4 | 62.5 |
| Davion Hill | - | 1 | 12.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 27 | 1.5 | 20.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.36 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Jai Anthoni Bearden | - | 1 | 18.1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Cam Denson | - | 1 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG