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Earlham

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Earlham
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 692 (#649) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 671 (#644) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 775 (#766) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -17.5 (#345) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -21.0 (#696) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.088 (#745) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.2 More → 0.058 (#686) AdjNet -24.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -24.5 More → 0.054 (#690) AdjNet -24.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 83.8 More → 0.164 (#685) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 83.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 77.0 More → 0.173 (#758) AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 77.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.100 (#750) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.103 (#754) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 24 More → 646 (#634) RD 114 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Capital L 63 - 72
2025-11-11 vs Wilmington (OH) L 80 - 94
2025-11-15 vs Millikin L 61 - 74
2025-11-19 @ UIndy L 65 - 95
2025-11-22 @ Kalamazoo L 68 - 73
2025-11-25 @ Muskingum L 72 - 82
2025-11-29 @ Asbury W 81 - 77
2025-12-03 vs Transylvania L 70 - 86
2025-12-06 vs Manchester L 72 - 83
2025-12-13 @ Mt. St. Joseph L 64 - 88
2025-12-17 @ Rose-Hulman L 71 - 79
2025-12-20 @ Kenyon L 54 - 60
2025-12-29 @ Ball St. L 30 - 93
2026-01-03 @ Franklin L 58 - 88
2026-01-07 vs Berea L 70 - 77
2026-01-10 vs Hanover L 55 - 76
2026-01-14 @ Bluffton L 87 - 96
2026-01-17 vs Anderson (IN) L 58 - 81
2026-01-21 @ Transylvania L 42 - 81
2026-01-24 vs Franklin L 46 - 70
2026-01-28 @ Anderson (IN) L 46 - 80
2026-01-31 @ Hanover L 53 - 76
2026-02-04 vs Bluffton W 81 - 73
2026-02-07 vs Mt. St. Joseph L 59 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kenney Troutman - 1 24.7 27.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 18.0 16.0 53 2.3 13.8 55.6 42.9 50.0 1.46 71.5 72.2
Bud Davis - 20 25.7 13.8 2.8 3.0 1.2 0.1 2.8 11.6 6.5 -86 -5.1 -38.6 41.4 30.1 79.0 -0.61 53.0 48.7
Tommy Reddick - 20 25.9 9.4 3.5 1.6 1.1 0.6 1.7 7.2 7.1 -58 -3.2 -23.6 41.4 31.7 63.6 1.78 52.8 48.3
Jaxon Smith - 1 11.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 44 2.2 12.4 100.0 100.0 0 0.08 150.0 150.0
Cedric Anderson - 1 14.7 9.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 13.0 73 3.6 28.7 75.0 0.0 100.0 1.17 84.6 75.0
Patrick Hardimon - 21 22.1 8.9 4.6 0.7 0.8 0.4 1.5 7.6 6.2 -37 -1.9 -12.6 44.0 30.6 60.3 -0.52 50.4 47.5
Hunter Barr - 1 11.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 59 2.7 14.7 66.7 0 0.0 2.14 58.1 66.7
Donovan Pruitt - 21 20.0 7.8 1.9 2.0 0.6 0.0 1.9 6.9 3.6 -58 -3.2 -17.3 42.4 31.3 77.8 0.38 52.6 49.7
Noah Gathings - 16 17.9 7.1 3.4 1.1 1.1 0.4 1.1 5.9 6.1 -12 -0.8 -3.7 44.7 34.2 68.0 -0.81 54.3 51.6
Luke Idlett - 1 12.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 21 1.0 5.5 60.0 50.0 0 2.38 70.0 70.0
Connor Smith - 19 24.8 6.9 5.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.8 6.6 5.8 -90 -5.3 -24.1 32.5 31.1 77.3 0.16 48.3 45.2
Josiah Marshall - 1 6.3 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 -51 -6.4 -255.0 33.3 50.0 75.0 -1.56 63.0 50.0
Cayden Lancaster - 1 9.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 40 2.0 17.5 50.0 33.3 0 3.73 62.5 62.5
Jack Sullivan - 18 15.0 4.3 2.4 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.5 3.4 3.8 -11 -0.6 -4.7 42.6 44.8 63.2 -2.64 55.5 53.3
Bryce Williams - 1 17.5 4.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 80 3.8 20.4 66.7 0.0 0 2.0 66.7 66.7
Jake Kolbay - 17 12.1 3.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 3.2 1.6 -23 -1.4 -13.9 41.8 38.8 0 -2.86 59.1 59.1
Chase Newton - 21 16.1 3.1 2.2 1.6 0.6 0.0 1.0 2.6 4.0 -44 -2.3 -14.3 45.5 0.0 65.2 0.12 49.9 45.5
J.C. Walbert - 1 8.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1 0.0 0.9 33.3 100.0 0 -0.65 50.0 50.0
Colby Wilburn - 1 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -26 -2.9 -239.1 50.0 50.0 0 0.27 75.0 75.0
Ki'Shawn Wright - 4 10.6 2.5 1.2 1.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 2.5 3.0 -5 -1.0 -5.0 30.0 0.0 100.0 -0.2 42.5 30.0
Travis Makabu - 22 16.8 2.4 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.5 2.0 -83 -4.2 -29.1 35.7 0.0 75.0 -3.22 41.2 35.7
Manntavius Goodman - 11 6.4 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.5 2.2 1.5 -28 -2.8 -33.9 37.5 37.5 66.7 -2.76 45.4 43.8
Manny Smith - 4 2.2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.8 -3 -0.8 -112.5 60.0 50.0 0 -0.2 80.0 80.0
Drew Marshall - 1 14.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 48 2.2 11.3 50.0 0.0 0 3.09 50.0 50.0
Ian Reesor - 1 13.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 70 3.5 21.1 0.0 0.0 100.0 3.45 17.0 0.0
Sam Stone - 1 8.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -22 -1.0 -18.1 100.0 0 0 -2.68 100.0 100.0
Grady Smitley - 10 6.6 1.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.3 6 0.6 9.3 33.3 37.5 83.3 -0.36 60.1 50.0
Lijah Whitaker - 3 3.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 53.2 50.0
Dane Copeland - 9 5.6 1.1 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.2 3 0.3 5.0 50.0 100.0 50.0 -2.37 56.3 56.2
Hamweemba Mukando - 12 7.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.3 -6 -0.6 -10.2 46.2 0.0 0.0 1.26 44.6 46.2
James Clark - 12 6.9 0.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.8 -31 -3.4 -240.0 66.7 0 42.9 0.17 60.6 66.7
Marcos Paul - 16 9.9 0.5 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 -37 -2.6 -16.0 23.1 25.0 0.0 -0.38 29.8 30.8
Dylan Bena - 6 2.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 -7 -1.2 -137.7 0.0 0 0 0.09 0.0 0.0
Jordan Turner - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 9 0.4 2.2 0.0 0.0 0 2.89 0.0 0.0
Justin Bibb - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -3.2 -280.3 0 0 0 0.13 0 0
Dakota Capps - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -1.0 -9.6 0 0 0 -2.81 0 0
Trey Davis - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -3.5 -420.0 0 0 0 -0.57 0 0
Jaden Davis - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -4.0 -365.7 0 0 0 -0.56 0 0
Jake Fithian - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -24 -2.7 -587.8 0 0 0 0.9 0 0
Nick Osborne - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -2.2 -115.8 0 0 0 0.8 0 0
Brandon Rowe - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -26 -1.5 -28.4 0 0 0 -2.66 0 0
Logan Tharp - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -2.8 -251.4 0 0 0 0.14 0 0
Worthy Ebiringa - 1 6.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -28 -3.5 -125.1 0 0 0 -0.99 0 0
Cole Duncan - 1 12.1 0.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 -11 -0.6 -8.6 0.0 0 0.0 -0.59 0.0 0.0
Axel Laby - 1 6.3 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -4 -0.3 -4.0 0 0 0 1.86 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG