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Earlham

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Earlham
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 711 (#644) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 675 (#642) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 775 (#766) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -18.6 (#446) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -21.0 (#696) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.088 (#745) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.2 More → 0.058 (#686) AdjNet -24.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -24.5 More → 0.054 (#690) AdjNet -24.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 83.8 More → 0.164 (#685) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 83.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 77.0 More → 0.173 (#758) AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 77.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.100 (#750) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.103 (#754) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 24 More → 643 (#629) RD 113 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Capital - Incomplete score
2025-11-11 vs Wilmington (OH) - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Millikin - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 @ UIndy - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Kalamazoo - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Muskingum - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Asbury - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Transylvania - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Manchester - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Mt. St. Joseph - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 @ Rose-Hulman - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Kenyon - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 @ Ball St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Franklin - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 vs Berea - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Hanover - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Bluffton - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Anderson (IN) - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Transylvania - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Franklin - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Anderson (IN) - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Hanover - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Bluffton - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Mt. St. Joseph - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kenney Troutman - 1 24.7 27.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 18.0 16.0 53 2.3 13.8 55.6 42.9 50.0 -0.3 71.5 72.2
Bud Davis - 18 26.2 14.4 2.7 3.2 1.4 0.1 2.8 11.9 7.2 -86 -5.1 -38.6 43.0 30.1 78.6 -2.4 54.3 50.2
Tommy Reddick - 18 26.5 10.3 3.6 1.6 1.2 0.6 1.8 7.6 7.8 -58 -3.2 -23.6 43.1 32.8 66.7 1.51 54.8 50.0
Patrick Hardimon - 19 22.8 9.2 5.0 0.7 0.8 0.4 1.6 7.8 6.8 -37 -1.9 -12.6 44.6 33.3 57.4 -1.3 50.7 48.3
Cedric Anderson - 1 14.7 9.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 13.0 73 3.6 28.7 75.0 0.0 100.0 1.52 84.6 75.0
Jaxon Smith - 1 11.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 44 2.2 12.4 100.0 100.0 0 0.99 150.0 150.0
Hunter Barr - 1 11.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 59 2.7 14.7 66.7 0 0.0 2.08 58.1 66.7
Donovan Pruitt - 19 20.2 7.9 1.9 2.2 0.6 0.1 1.9 6.6 4.2 -58 -3.2 -17.3 44.4 31.7 76.0 -0.5 55.1 52.4
Noah Gathings - 14 18.8 7.6 3.8 1.1 1.1 0.3 1.1 6.4 6.5 -12 -0.8 -3.7 44.9 31.4 65.2 1.22 53.5 51.1
Connor Smith - 17 25.5 7.3 4.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.8 6.8 6.1 -90 -5.3 -24.1 33.6 32.6 75.0 -3.24 49.7 47.0
Luke Idlett - 1 12.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 21 1.0 5.5 60.0 50.0 0 -0.85 70.0 70.0
Josiah Marshall - 1 6.3 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 -51 -6.4 -255.0 33.3 50.0 75.0 -5.83 63.0 50.0
Cayden Lancaster - 1 9.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 40 2.0 17.5 50.0 33.3 0 2.02 62.5 62.5
Jake Kolbay - 16 12.0 4.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.5 3.4 1.4 -23 -1.4 -13.9 42.6 39.6 0 -2.02 60.2 60.2
Bryce Williams - 1 17.5 4.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 80 3.8 20.4 66.7 0.0 0 1.42 66.7 66.7
Jack Sullivan - 17 14.9 3.9 2.5 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.5 3.4 3.5 -11 -0.6 -4.7 39.7 38.5 64.7 -1.45 51.2 48.3
Ki'Shawn Wright - 3 12.7 3.3 1.7 1.7 0.3 0.7 0.7 3.3 3.7 -5 -1.0 -5.0 30.0 0.0 100.0 0.34 42.5 30.0
Chase Newton - 19 16.4 3.2 2.4 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.9 2.7 4.3 -44 -2.3 -14.3 47.1 0.0 61.9 -1.26 50.6 47.1
J.C. Walbert - 1 8.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1 0.0 0.9 33.3 100.0 0 -0.42 50.0 50.0
Colby Wilburn - 1 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -26 -2.9 -239.1 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Manny Smith - 3 1.5 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.3 -3 -0.8 -112.5 75.0 66.7 0 1.02 100.0 100.0
Travis Makabu - 20 16.8 2.4 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.1 -83 -4.2 -29.1 36.5 0.0 71.4 -2.32 41.3 36.5
Drew Marshall - 1 14.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 48 2.2 11.3 50.0 0.0 0 2.14 50.0 50.0
Ian Reesor - 1 13.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 70 3.5 21.1 0.0 0.0 100.0 4.1 17.0 0.0
Sam Stone - 1 8.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -22 -1.0 -18.1 100.0 0 0 -1.27 100.0 100.0
Manntavius Goodman - 9 6.7 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.7 2.2 1.1 -28 -2.8 -33.9 30.0 28.6 66.7 -2.87 37.5 35.0
Grady Smitley - 8 7.0 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.1 1.4 6 0.6 9.3 33.3 37.5 66.7 0.13 53.3 50.0
Lijah Whitaker - 3 3.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 53.2 50.0
Dane Copeland - 8 6.0 1.2 1.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.4 3 0.3 5.0 50.0 100.0 50.0 -1.9 56.3 56.2
James Clark - 10 7.0 1.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.9 -31 -3.4 -240.0 66.7 0 40.0 -3.56 61.0 66.7
Hamweemba Mukando - 10 5.7 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 -6 -0.6 -10.2 42.9 0 0 0.49 42.9 42.9
Marcos Paul - 14 10.2 0.6 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.6 -37 -2.6 -16.0 25.0 28.6 0.0 -3.15 32.2 33.3
Dylan Bena - 5 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 -7 -1.2 -137.7 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Worthy Ebiringa - 1 6.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -28 -3.5 -125.1 0 0 0 -2.0 0 0
Cole Duncan - 1 12.1 0.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 -11 -0.6 -8.6 0.0 0 0.0 -1.51 0.0 0.0
Axel Laby - 1 6.3 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -4 -0.3 -4.0 0 0 0 0.57 0 0
Justin Bibb - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -3.2 -280.3 0 0 0 - 0 0
Dakota Capps - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -1.0 -9.6 0 0 0 -3.99 0 0
Trey Davis - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -3.5 -420.0 0 0 0 2.25 0 0
Jaden Davis - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -4.0 -365.7 0 0 0 3.78 0 0
Jake Fithian - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -24 -2.7 -587.8 0 0 0 -3.78 0 0
Nick Osborne - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -2.2 -115.8 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brandon Rowe - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -26 -1.5 -28.4 0 0 0 -1.51 0 0
Logan Tharp - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -2.8 -251.4 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG