Baldwin Wallace
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 970 (#428) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 947 (#433) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 965 (#575) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.2 (#166) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.9 (#492) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.219 (#654) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.237 (#497) | AdjNet -10.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.231 (#497) | AdjNet -10.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.340 (#494) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 77.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.412 (#566) | AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.366 (#523) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.368 (#533) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 969 (#408) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | L | 80 - 82 |
| 2025-11-10 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Wittenberg | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Trine | L | 72 - 76 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Kenyon | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Hiram | W | 76 - 58 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Marietta | L | 61 - 77 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Muskingum | L | 61 - 80 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Mount Union | L | 68 - 87 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Capital | W | 79 - 76 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Bluffton | W | 101 - 97 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Chatham | L | 55 - 62 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Otterbein | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 81 - 70 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Heidelberg | L | 76 - 85 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Wilmington (OH) | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Ohio Northern | L | 50 - 66 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Muskingum | W | 80 - 66 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Otterbein | L | 70 - 86 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Marietta | L | 83 - 99 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Mount Union | L | 60 - 93 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Capital | W | 90 - 77 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Ellington | - | 1 | 24.1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 57.1 | 53.6 |
| Michael Bigley | - | 1 | 30.8 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | -25 | -1.2 | -6.4 | 44.4 | 0 | 70.0 | -1.08 | 56.0 | 44.4 |
| Jackson Byer | - | 1 | 24.4 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 39 | 2.1 | 10.1 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 3.2 | 65.1 | 55.6 |
| Ty Keffer | - | 1 | 30.9 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | -12 | -0.6 | -3.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 2.97 | 83.8 | 75.0 |
| Trent Rozich | - | 1 | 35.5 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | -13 | -0.7 | -2.7 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 83.3 | -0.78 | 41.0 | 29.2 |
| Isaac Richardson | - | 21 | 26.2 | 11.3 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 10.0 | -49 | -2.1 | -10.5 | 56.9 | 27.6 | 70.6 | 0.41 | 62.7 | 59.4 |
| Titus Baskerville IV | - | 21 | 29.4 | 11.1 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 10.6 | 5.9 | -30 | -1.3 | -6.8 | 35.9 | 33.1 | 63.6 | 1.07 | 47.3 | 44.6 |
| Matthew Marinchak | - | 1 | 27.3 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | -22 | -1.0 | -5.3 | 36.4 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.72 | 46.3 | 40.9 |
| Brayden Hamilton | - | 21 | 29.8 | 10.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 8.0 | 6.2 | -70 | -7.8 | -338.0 | 46.2 | 32.9 | 74.4 | -1.14 | 56.4 | 53.6 |
| AJ Pestello | - | 21 | 24.0 | 9.9 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 8.4 | 8.0 | -55 | -2.4 | -11.8 | 48.9 | 14.3 | 46.6 | 2.31 | 50.0 | 49.4 |
| Anthony Maddaluno-Pytel | - | 19 | 23.5 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 6.6 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 45.6 | 28.8 | 82.5 | - | 56.8 | 51.6 |
| Joziah Wyatt-Taylor | - | 1 | 8.4 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -11 | -0.6 | -13.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.55 | 90.2 | 100.0 |
| Myles Reynolds | - | 21 | 15.5 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 6.1 | 3.3 | -71 | -3.2 | -23.2 | 38.8 | 30.2 | 63.3 | -1.35 | 48.5 | 46.1 |
| Tony Martin | - | 1 | 20.7 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -48 | -3.0 | -61.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.72 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Andrew Griffith | - | 21 | 16.6 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 3.0 | -9 | -0.4 | -4.2 | 30.7 | 26.2 | 95.5 | -2.64 | 47.1 | 40.3 |
| Jahmir Collins | - | 1 | 14.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -24 | -1.3 | -19.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 40.0 | -0.87 | 38.5 | 33.3 |
| Caden Hudak | - | 21 | 14.9 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 4.6 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 32.0 | 57.9 | - | 53.8 | 52.3 |
| Braylan McClardy | - | 21 | 15.4 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 2.3 | -61 | -2.8 | -23.6 | 33.7 | 14.9 | 53.8 | -0.04 | 38.7 | 37.4 |
| Nick Timberlake | - | 12 | 9.7 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 0.7 | -10 | -0.8 | -8.3 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 66.7 | -1.56 | 47.5 | 45.0 |
| Dylan Bartchak | - | 7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 12 | 1.7 | 65.8 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.66 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Caden Madigan | - | 5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 0.8 | 30.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.53 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Avery Young | - | 6 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -0.2 | 8 | 1.3 | 208.7 | 16.7 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.47 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Michael Lewandowski | - | 1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Chandler | - | 1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -0.9 | -46.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Freas | - | 1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | -45 | -2.4 | -42.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.45 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ryan Greggerson | - | 1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -0.6 | -15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Pierre-Paul | - | 1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.86 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG