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Boston Celtics

Also known as: Boston Celtics
Program History

Model Outputs

2002-2003
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 868 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1015 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +84 elo More โ†’ 969 (#21) HCA +84 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ -0.4 (#17) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -0.7 (#17) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.488 (#17) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.0 More โ†’ 0.441 (#21) NetEff -2.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.2 More โ†’ 0.493 (#16) AdjNet -0.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.3 More โ†’ 0.493 (#16) AdjNet -0.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 91.2 | AdjD 91.5 More โ†’ 0.491 (#17) AdjO 91.2 | AdjD 91.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 92.4 | AdjD 93.0 More โ†’ 0.485 (#17) AdjO 92.4 | AdjD 93.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.446 (#20) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.445 (#20) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 92 More โ†’ 964 (#20) RD 149 | GP 92

2003 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-03-09 vs San Antonio Spurs - Incomplete score
2003-03-12 vs New Orleans Pelicans - Incomplete score
2003-03-13 @ Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2003-03-15 @ Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2003-03-18 vs Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2003-03-19 @ Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2003-03-21 @ Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2003-03-22 @ Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2003-03-24 @ Utah Jazz - Incomplete score
2003-03-26 vs Golden State Warriors - Incomplete score
2003-03-28 vs Cleveland Cavaliers - Incomplete score
2003-03-29 @ Cleveland Cavaliers - Incomplete score
2003-04-02 vs Miami Heat - Incomplete score
2003-04-04 vs Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2003-04-06 vs Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2003-04-09 @ Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2003-04-10 vs Philadelphia 76ers - Incomplete score
2003-04-12 @ Orlando Magic - Incomplete score
2003-04-13 @ Miami Heat - Incomplete score
2003-04-16 vs Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score

2003 Roster

No roster data available for this season.