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Avila

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Avila
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 987 (#296) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 964 (#326) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 991 (#448) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -16.4 (#572) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.003 (#660) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -51.2 More → 0.001 (#484) NetEff -51.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -33.7 More → 0.020 (#671) AdjNet -33.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -32.8 More → 0.019 (#671) AdjNet -32.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 52.6 | AdjD 75.0 More → 0.115 (#677) AdjO 52.6 | AdjD 75.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 66.5 More → 0.377 (#554) AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 66.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.254 (#560) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.271 (#553) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 301 | GP 1 More → 934 (#319) RD 301 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-17 @ Mo. Southern St. L 49 - 91

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Madilyn Melton - 1 23.8 14.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 8.0 - - - 45.5 100.0 100.0 - 56.8 50.0
Cecelia Eddy - 1 17.4 9.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 - - - 28.6 20.0 100.0 - 51.4 35.7
Kathleen Stanley - 1 20.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 -2.0 - - - 25.0 25.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Anastasia Wright - 1 14.7 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -2.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Marlie Wright - 1 18.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Abrianna Leiker - 1 20.8 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Talia Dyson - 1 15.7 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 -4.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Hannah Smith - 1 17.1 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -1.0 -35 -3.2 -65.9 0.0 0 100.0 0.42 34.7 0.0
Morgan Wiseman - 1 16.2 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brianne Kuhlman - 1 19.2 0.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Brylie Hicks - 1 17.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -3.0 -26 -2.9 -114.3 0.0 0 0 1.87 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG