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Avila Eagles

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Avila Eagles
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 988 (#197) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 962 (#307) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 986 (#366) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +8.9 (#174) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.004 (#696) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -27.1 More → 0.041 (#682) AdjNet -27.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.4 More → 0.041 (#680) AdjNet -26.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 84.8 More → 0.155 (#666) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 84.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 75.5 More → 0.526 (#255) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 75.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.595 (#237) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.577 (#250) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 306 | GP 1 More → 953 (#271) RD 306 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-16 @ Missouri Western L 81 - 92

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Noah King - 1 33.4 24.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 22.0 12.0 77 3.5 17.9 45.5 28.6 50.0 0.69 50.5 50.0
Gavin Hershberger - 1 26.0 19.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 12.0 143 6.0 40.6 63.6 55.6 0 4.29 86.4 86.4
Ty Henry - 1 29.6 15.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 13.0 160 6.7 34.3 53.8 0.0 100.0 2.28 55.8 53.8
Marko Pavlovic - 1 34.3 14.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 10.0 16.0 119 5.0 31.4 70.0 0 0.0 1.18 67.0 70.0
Bode Goodman - 1 16.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 -60 -2.5 -35.1 33.3 50.0 0 -2.05 50.0 50.0
William Kiburis - 1 15.8 6.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 120 5.5 27.1 25.0 0.0 100.0 2.99 52.1 25.0
Trey McKowen - 1 28.9 6.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 2.0 39 1.6 15.7 22.2 20.0 50.0 -2.28 30.4 27.8
Frank Keller - 1 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 9 1.5 69.2 100.0 0 0 1.12 100.0 100.0
Devin Butler - 1 14.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -26 -1.2 -16.7 0.0 0.0 0 -1.47 0.0 0.0
Traeger Rader - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 20 2.5 28.4 0.0 0.0 0 1.34 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG