Avila Eagles
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 988 (#197) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 962 (#307) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 986 (#366) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.9 (#174) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.004 (#696) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.041 (#682) | AdjNet -27.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.041 (#680) | AdjNet -26.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.155 (#666) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 84.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.526 (#255) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 75.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.595 (#237) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.577 (#250) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 952 (#276) | RD 305 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-19 | @ | Truman St. | L | 62 - 92 |
| 2023-11-25 | @ | Washburn | L | 50 - 98 |
| 2023-11-27 | @ | Rockhurst | L | 58 - 96 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ | Missouri Western | L | 37 - 90 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Orr | - | 1 | 24.0 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | -10 | -1.4 | -2.6 | 76.9 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.09 | 82.2 | 76.9 |
| Kobi Williams | - | 1 | 20.0 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 24.0 | 65 | 10.8 | 40.5 | 57.1 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0.49 | 93.6 | 78.6 |
| Casen Lawrence | - | 1 | 22.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 31 | 5.2 | 43.5 | 75.0 | 71.4 | 0 | -0.11 | 106.2 | 106.2 |
| Jarmell Johnson | - | 1 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | -46 | -2.6 | -13.6 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 0.36 | 75.9 | 77.8 |
| Taye Fields | - | 1 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.75 | 71.7 | 75.0 |
| Julius Dixon | - | 1 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | -8 | -1.3 | -2.2 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.31 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Brennan Lovette | - | 1 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 123 | 8.2 | 115.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.02 | 115.5 | 116.7 |
| Brayden Shorter | - | 1 | 13.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | -52 | -7.4 | -12.9 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 80.0 | 0.23 | 67.1 | 58.3 |
| Zion Swader | - | 1 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | -21 | -3.5 | -4.9 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0 | -0.03 | 68.8 | 68.8 |
| Michael Keegan | - | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | -17 | -2.4 | -4.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 75.0 | 0.69 | 105.0 | 116.7 |
| Sam Ungashick | - | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 8 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.17 | 67.2 | 71.4 |
| JaRon Thames | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | -33 | -6.6 | -8.0 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.01 | 50.6 | 44.4 |
| Landon Eiland | - | 1 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 67 | 11.2 | 57.4 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.28 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Josh Book | - | 1 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 15 | 3.0 | 9.7 | 42.9 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0.31 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Ethan Killgore | - | 1 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -2 | -2.0 | -78.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.78 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Kiani Saxon | - | 1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | 8 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 75.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.85 | 78.1 | 75.0 |
| Matt Haefner | - | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 22 | 5.5 | 18.5 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0.21 | 69.4 | 83.3 |
| Blaise Porter | - | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Trey Shearer | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 65 | 10.8 | 36.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.66 | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| Emmanuel Byrd | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 34 | 2.3 | 193.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Jake Schadegg | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 69.4 | 66.7 |
| Justin Bubak | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 13 | 0.9 | 6.3 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.44 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Matthew Schneider | - | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | -3 | -1.5 | -22.6 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.95 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Cooper Randall | - | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Zaid Dajani | - | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -5 | -1.0 | -8.4 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.17 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Jack Bachelor | - | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 73 | 3.6 | 16.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.14 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Matt Nunez | - | 1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | -1 | -0.3 | -3.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jermarco Burse Jr. | - | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 6 | 0.4 | 9.1 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.08 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Levi Braun | - | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Brady Christiansen | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -10 | -0.5 | -2.9 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.11 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Xavier Hall | - | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.41 | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Joe Knutson | - | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 4.5 | 28.1 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.47 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Tobias Reizner | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Kevin Eman | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -1.0 | -21.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.14 | 0 | 0 |
| JC Anthony | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.71 | 0 | 0 |
| Camden Bennett | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Reese Glover | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -5.0 | -23 | -4.6 | -8.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ky Green | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ashton Smith | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23 | 3.3 | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG