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Ave Maria Gyrenes

Season: 2024 2017 2013 2012
Also known as: Ave Maria Gyrenes
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 765 (#1081) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 808 (#1073) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 999 (#189) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +1.8 (#522) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -4.1 (#375) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 65.6 More → 0.485 (#275) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 65.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.346 (#398) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.377 (#384) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 928 (#327) RD 350 | GP 1

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-15 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 54 - 86

2013 Roster

No roster data available for this season.