Austin Peay
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 933 (#360) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1108 (#125) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 946 (#405) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1039 (#219) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.4 (#220) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.7 (#283) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#79) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.279 (#545) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#45) | NetEff +66.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.998 (#57) | AdjNet +55.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.143 (#519) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.999 (#62) | AdjNet +54.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.132 (#518) | AdjNet -16.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.962 (#68) | AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 47.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.293 (#509) | AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.651 (#179) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 52.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.623 (#280) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.625 (#276) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1040 (#264) | RD 99 | GP 22 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-15 | vs | Rhodes | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-21 | vs | Hendrix | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-22 | @ | Millsaps | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-27 | @ | UC Santa Cruz | W | 62 - 54 |
| 2015-11-28 | vs | Redlands | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2015-12-02 | @ | Texas-Dallas | L | 62 - 79 |
| 2015-12-05 | vs | Hendrix | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-16 | @ | Millsaps | L | 50 - 63 |
| 2015-12-19 | vs | UT Tyler | W | 82 - 73 |
| 2015-12-30 | vs | Texas-Dallas | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | Dallas | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-08 | @ | Southwestern (TX) | W | 63 - 48 |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | Texas Lutheran | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-15 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 75 - 56 |
| 2016-01-16 | vs | Colorado Col. | W | 76 - 51 |
| 2016-01-22 | vs | Schreiner | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | Trinity (TX) | L | 53 - 57 |
| 2016-01-29 | @ | Schreiner | L | 80 - 86 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Trinity (TX) | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2016-02-05 | @ | Centenary (LA) | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-07 | @ | Colorado Col. | W | 79 - 55 |
| 2016-02-12 | vs | Southwestern (TX) | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | Texas Lutheran | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2016-02-20 | vs | Dallas | W | 64 - 61 |
| 2016-02-21 | vs | Rust | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-27 | vs | Schreiner | - | Preview |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.