Aurora
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 1205 (#11) | - |
| Margin Recency | +0.3 (#345) | HCA +3.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.647 (#152) | AdjO 85.1 | AdjD 78.4 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.640 (#271) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.656 (#252) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.601 (#311) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 1230 (#42) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 79 - 84 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | North Central (IL) | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | L | 76 - 87 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Wis.-Whitewater | L | 73 - 82 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Asbury | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | W | 96 - 81 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Illinois Tech | W | 103 - 77 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | W | 88 - 64 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Concordia Chicago | W | 78 - 73 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Albion | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 85 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Edgewood | W | 98 - 59 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Concordia Wisconsin | W | 95 - 84 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | MSOE | W | 114 - 74 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Concordia Chicago | W | 101 - 79 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Lakeland | W | 90 - 83 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Dominican (IL) | W | 83 - 61 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Marian (WI) | W | 95 - 83 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | W | 103 - 100 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles, with four dividers separating the position buckets.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | - | 1 | 200.0 | 80.0 | 32.0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 60.0 | 70.0 | - | - | - | 48.3 | 39.3 | 91.7 | - | 61.3 | 57.5 |
| Juan Madrigal | - | 1 | 32.5 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 30.0 | 100.0 | - | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Cullen Rauls | - | 1 | 38.1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 41.7 | 0 | - | 56.7 | 56.7 |
| Devon Richardson | - | 1 | 31.6 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 66.6 | 62.5 |
| Jeffery Hillmer | - | 1 | 40.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Mekhi Doby | - | 1 | 32.9 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 60.5 | 57.1 |
| Zerrick Johnson | - | 1 | 12.4 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Larry Carthan | - | 1 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 106.4 | 100.0 |
| Gevon Grant | - | 1 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG