Augustana (SD)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1074 (#98) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1062 (#215) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1029 (#283) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 988 (#492) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.4 (#68) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.0 (#295) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#67) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.441 (#477) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#44) | NetEff +79.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.989 (#114) | AdjNet +39.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.749 (#297) | AdjNet +9.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.991 (#116) | AdjNet +38.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.752 (#293) | AdjNet +9.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.951 (#80) | AdjO 89.8 | AdjD 57.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.611 (#294) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 59.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.610 (#221) | AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 57.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.655 (#256) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.633 (#271) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1023 (#279) | RD 94 | GP 22 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | @ | Blackburn | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-17 | @ | Rockford | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-20 | @ | Concordia-M'head | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-22 | @ | UC Santa Cruz | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-28 | vs | Webster | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-02 | vs | Loras | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2015-12-07 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-12 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 81 - 55 |
| 2015-12-20 | @ | Coe | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2015-12-29 | @ | Grinnell | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-30 | @ | Defiance | L | 56 - 63 |
| 2016-01-02 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-06 | vs | Elmhurst | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | North Park | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-13 | @ | North Central (IL) | L | 75 - 98 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | Carthage | W | 56 - 51 |
| 2016-01-20 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | Millikin | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-27 | @ | Elmhurst | L | 48 - 69 |
| 2016-01-30 | vs | North Park | W | 62 - 55 |
| 2016-02-03 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 109 - 100 |
| 2016-02-06 | vs | Carthage | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2016-02-10 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-13 | @ | Millikin | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | - | Preview |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.