Augustana (SD)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2025 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1006 (#404) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.8 (#413) | HCA +3.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.503 (#402) | AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 76.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.507 (#388) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.498 (#406) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1096 (#184) | RD 94 | GP 21 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Coe | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Dubuque | W | 67 - 48 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | DePauw | W | 84 - 73 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Wis.-Platteville | L | 50 - 77 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Hamline | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Elmhurst | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | North Central (IL) | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Carthage | L | 70 - 82 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Knox | W | 113 - 65 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | W | 78 - 70 |
| 2024-12-28 | vs | Bethel (MN) | W | 83 - 51 |
| 2024-12-31 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Millikin | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | North Park | L | 73 - 87 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Carroll (WI) | W | 85 - 77 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 52 - 82 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Carthage | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | North Park | W | 78 - 70 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 80 - 76 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Millikin | W | 74 - 52 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 60 - 58 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Carroll (WI) | L | 71 - 81 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | W | 101 - 76 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | W | 85 - 76 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 92 - 78 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 65 - 70 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Knuth | - | 27 | 27.0 | 19.0 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 13.9 | 8.5 | 18 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 41.4 | 40.4 | 86.6 | 1.9 | 59.4 | 53.2 |
| Evan Ambrose | - | 27 | 26.3 | 12.3 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 10.7 | 6.1 | -25 | -1.4 | -2.6 | 43.1 | 29.3 | 66.7 | 0.21 | 50.8 | 47.8 |
| Staishaun Kelley | - | 27 | 20.5 | 9.2 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.8 | 6.1 | 20 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 44.5 | 21.9 | 59.3 | 0.37 | 49.6 | 46.2 |
| Ray Maurchie | - | 27 | 22.5 | 6.5 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 8.6 | -15 | -0.7 | -3.1 | 58.2 | 38.5 | 65.9 | 1.01 | 62.3 | 60.2 |
| Chase Larsen | - | 27 | 24.0 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 5.1 | 8.3 | -23 | -1.4 | -2.7 | 37.0 | 24.5 | 82.1 | 0.23 | 49.2 | 41.3 |
| Matt Hawkins | - | 27 | 13.1 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 22 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 44.6 | 31.2 | 88.9 | 0.61 | 54.6 | 51.3 |
| Anthony Cooper | - | 27 | 13.4 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 4.2 | 2.0 | -36 | -3.3 | -12.0 | 34.5 | 29.7 | 100.0 | 0.14 | 50.2 | 46.5 |
| Colton Gillingham | - | 27 | 12.9 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 3.0 | -42 | -4.2 | -31.1 | 43.4 | 35.7 | 60.0 | 0.01 | 48.2 | 45.8 |
| Mike Hamilton | - | 26 | 16.0 | 2.9 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 5.5 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 45.9 | 0.0 | 58.8 | 1.44 | 50.0 | 45.9 |
| Dani Romero | - | 27 | 10.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 42 | 2.3 | 13.5 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 31.2 | 0.68 | 44.9 | 46.2 |
| Nicolas Giliberto | - | 27 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.3 | -21 | -3.0 | -16.3 | 40.6 | 33.3 | 60.0 | -0.0 | 49.5 | 46.9 |
| Dom Rhoden | - | 25 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | -26 | -2.0 | -36.0 | 35.0 | 21.4 | 75.0 | -0.16 | 46.0 | 42.5 |
| Nikola Raic | - | 23 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.05 | 43.7 | 45.5 |
| JJ Hernandez | - | 23 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jake Willems | - | 20 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | -42 | -4.2 | -735.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.15 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Eli Aldana | - | 27 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -11 | -1.2 | -105.2 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.91 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Maddux Dieckman | - | 23 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.41 | 30.7 | 25.0 |
| Ethan Andre | - | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -16 | -1.6 | -336.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamal Winston | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 5.0 | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.44 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG