Augustana (SD)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1208 (#31) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1142 (#79) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1181 (#19) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.2 (#77) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +18.4 (#71) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.640 (#261) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.197 (#274) | NetEff -14.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.914 (#115) | AdjNet +20.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.919 (#115) | AdjNet +20.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.810 (#112) | AdjO 85.5 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.761 (#31) | AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.832 (#43) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.827 (#36) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1159 (#72) | RD 94 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Missouri Western | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Bellevue | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Southwest Minn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Sioux Falls | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | St. Cloud St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Minnesota St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Winona St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Jamestown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Northern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | MSU Moorhead | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Minn.-Crookston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Minot St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Mary | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Bemidji St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Minn. Duluth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Winona St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tameron Ferguson | - | 23 | 35.2 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 14.5 | 16.6 | 114 | 5.0 | 18.7 | 53.0 | 35.2 | 71.8 | -1.4 | 60.5 | 57.6 |
| Caden Hinker | - | 21 | 28.9 | 15.9 | 6.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 10.8 | 12.4 | 101 | 4.8 | 18.8 | 50.2 | 43.4 | 77.5 | 0.53 | 63.5 | 59.7 |
| Sam Rensch | - | 23 | 30.8 | 13.7 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 10.4 | 9.4 | 136 | 5.9 | 26.8 | 47.3 | 40.0 | 85.2 | 2.76 | 60.1 | 56.5 |
| Tanner Te Slaa | - | 23 | 28.9 | 10.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 7.7 | 6.8 | 136 | 5.9 | 30.4 | 38.1 | 35.5 | 83.6 | 3.32 | 56.4 | 50.6 |
| Bennett Fried | - | 23 | 22.1 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 7.8 | 79 | 3.4 | 28.1 | 64.3 | 25.0 | 72.5 | 0.44 | 68.4 | 65.7 |
| Brady Helgren | - | 21 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 6.8 | 76 | 3.6 | 16.8 | 56.2 | 46.2 | 48.8 | 1.92 | 58.9 | 59.6 |
| Amari Westmoreland-Vendiola | - | 23 | 20.7 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 41 | 1.8 | 9.6 | 41.6 | 27.8 | 84.8 | -0.31 | 55.7 | 48.1 |
| Conner Kraft | - | 15 | 11.7 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 3.6 | -26 | -1.7 | -83.1 | 43.8 | 57.1 | 78.3 | -2.81 | 55.1 | 47.9 |
| Jack Hastreiter | - | 13 | 8.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 2.6 | -20 | -1.5 | -82.2 | 40.0 | 28.6 | 100.0 | -2.74 | 51.3 | 48.0 |
| Markus Talley | - | 22 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.1 | 4.5 | 42.1 | 42.9 | 100.0 | -0.87 | 55.3 | 53.9 |
| Jonathan Caicedo | - | 1 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -2.0 | -14.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Matt Eng | - | 5 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 0.8 | 28.9 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Jacob Brandt | - | 5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hayden Brown | - | 5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG