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Augusta

Also known as: Augusta
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 977 (#178) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 997 (#180) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 886 (#542) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +4.3 (#178) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +2.3 (#289) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.578 (#136) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.2 More โ†’ 0.718 (#222) NetEff +9.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.7 More โ†’ 0.730 (#134) AdjNet +8.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.7 More โ†’ 0.734 (#135) AdjNet +8.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.3 | AdjD 73.8 More โ†’ 0.645 (#136) AdjO 80.3 | AdjD 73.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 72.8 More โ†’ 0.553 (#213) AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 72.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.484 (#327) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.485 (#330) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 25 More โ†’ 897 (#371) RD 96 | GP 25

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-01 vs Washburn - Incomplete score
2025-11-02 vs Lubbock Christian - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Mount Olive - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Barton - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Emmanuel (GA) - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Fayetteville St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Converse - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Carson-Newman - Incomplete score
2025-12-02 vs Paine - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Flagler - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Ga. Southwestern - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 @ USC Beaufort - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Georgia College - Incomplete score
2025-12-18 vs Reinhardt - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Columbus St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Middle Georgia - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 vs Clayton St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Lander - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs USC Aiken - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ North Georgia - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Flagler - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs USC Beaufort - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Ga. Southwestern - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Columbus St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Georgia College - Incomplete score
2026-02-11 vs Lander L 74 - 85
2026-02-14 @ USC Aiken W 80 - 74
2026-02-18 @ Clayton St. W 82 - 60
2026-02-21 vs Middle Georgia W 91 - 71
2026-02-25 vs North Georgia L 56 - 71

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.