Augusta
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 977 (#178) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 997 (#180) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 886 (#542) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +4.3 (#178) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +2.3 (#289) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.578 (#136) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.718 (#222) | NetEff +9.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.730 (#134) | AdjNet +8.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.734 (#135) | AdjNet +8.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.645 (#136) | AdjO 80.3 | AdjD 73.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.553 (#213) | AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.484 (#327) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.485 (#330) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 897 (#371) | RD 96 | GP 25 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | vs | Washburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-02 | vs | Lubbock Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Mount Olive | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Barton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Fayetteville St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Converse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Carson-Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Paine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Flagler | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | USC Beaufort | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Georgia College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Reinhardt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Columbus St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Middle Georgia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Clayton St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Lander | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | USC Aiken | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | North Georgia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Flagler | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | USC Beaufort | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Ga. Southwestern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Columbus St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Georgia College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-11 | vs | Lander | L | 74 - 85 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | USC Aiken | W | 80 - 74 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Clayton St. | W | 82 - 60 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Middle Georgia | W | 91 - 71 |
| 2026-02-25 | vs | North Georgia | L | 56 - 71 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.