Augusta State Jaguars
Also known as: Augusta State Jaguars
Program History
Model Outputs
1990-1991
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 902 (#201) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 934 (#195) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1028 (#114) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.5 (#254) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.6 (#230) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.280 (#237) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.136 (#260) | AdjNet -16.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.132 (#260) | AdjNet -16.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.271 (#255) | AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 76.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.402 (#217) | AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 72.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.319 (#226) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.345 (#217) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 930 (#198) | RD 149 | GP 28 |
1991 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990-11-24 | @ | Georgia Tech | L | 63 - 100 |
| 1990-11-27 | @ | Minnesota | L | 60 - 90 |
| 1990-12-01 | @ | Virginia Commonwealth | L | 63 - 83 |
| 1990-12-08 | @ | Western Carolina | L | 72 - 100 |
| 1990-12-13 | @ | Georgia State | L | 71 - 72 |
| 1990-12-15 | @ | Florida | L | 43 - 82 |
| 1990-12-18 | vs | Georgia Southern | W | 69 - 67 |
| 1990-12-20 | @ | UC Santa Barbara | L | 50 - 80 |
| 1990-12-22 | @ | Southern California | L | 63 - 90 |
| 1990-12-31 | vs | Mercer | W | 75 - 51 |
| 1991-01-02 | vs | Winthrop | W | 84 - 75 |
| 1991-01-05 | vs | Campbell | W | 57 - 51 |
| 1991-01-12 | @ | Radford | L | 62 - 72 |
| 1991-01-14 | @ | UNC Asheville | W | 80 - 68 |
| 1991-01-19 | vs | Charleston Southern | W | 93 - 80 |
| 1991-01-21 | @ | Coastal Carolina | L | 80 - 85 |
| 1991-01-26 | @ | Davidson | W | 81 - 72 |
| 1991-01-29 | vs | South Carolina | L | 62 - 76 |
| 1991-01-31 | vs | Davidson | L | 54 - 62 |
| 1991-02-02 | vs | Radford | L | 75 - 83 |
| 1991-02-04 | @ | Campbell | L | 67 - 70 |
| 1991-02-07 | @ | Charleston Southern | W | 65 - 61 |
| 1991-02-11 | vs | UNC Asheville | W | 94 - 78 |
| 1991-02-16 | vs | Coastal Carolina | W | 75 - 74 |
| 1991-02-23 | @ | Winthrop | W | 58 - 44 |
| 1991-02-28 | N | UNC Asheville | W | 62 - 53 |
| 1991-03-01 | N | Radford | W | 69 - 56 |
| 1991-03-02 | N | Coastal Carolina | L | 54 - 89 |
1991 Roster
No roster data available for this season.