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Atlanta Dream

Also known as: Atlanta Dream
Program History

2026 Team Stats (2 games)

79.5
PPG
79.7
Opp
+2.8
Margin
40.0%
FG%
26.9%
3P%
67.2%
FT%
37.0
RPG
17.0
APG
16.5
TO
94.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2025 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2026 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 1149 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 1112 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +45 elo More β†’ 1105 (#2) HCA +45 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More β†’ +11.8 (#2) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More β†’ +10.6 (#2) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.766 (#3) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.7 More β†’ 0.766 (#3) NetEff +8.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.1 More β†’ 0.863 (#2) AdjNet +13.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.3 More β†’ 0.868 (#2) AdjNet +13.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.8 | AdjD 75.9 More β†’ 0.712 (#2) AdjO 85.8 | AdjD 75.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 75.3 More β†’ 0.653 (#2) AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 75.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.747 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.736 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 49 More β†’ 1139 (#2) RD 112 | GP 49

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-04-29 @ Chicago Sky W 87 - 78
2026-05-03 vs Washington Mystics L 72 - 83
2026-05-09 @ Minnesota Lynx W 91 - 90
2026-05-12 @ Dallas Wings W 77 - 72
2026-05-17 vs Las Vegas Aces L 84 - 85
2026-05-22 vs Dallas Wings W 86 - 69
2026-05-24 vs Phoenix Mercury W 82 - 80
2026-05-27 @ Minnesota Lynx L 81 - 96
2026-05-29 @ Portland Fire W 86 - 66
2026-06-02 vs Connecticut Sun W 91 - 75
2026-06-04 @ Indiana Fever L 71 - 83

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
H. Winterburn H. Winterburn - 1 22.0 12.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 7.0 - - - 44.4 0.0 100.0 - 55.8 44.4
M. Okot M. Okot - 2 22.0 11.5 8.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 3.5 10.0 9.0 - - - 40.0 20.0 60.0 - 47.1 42.5
T. Paopao T. Paopao G 2 16.5 10.5 2.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.5 8.5 - - - 72.7 83.3 0 - 95.5 95.5
A. Reese A. Reese F 2 12.0 9.0 5.5 1.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 - - - 35.7 0.0 57.1 - 44.6 35.7
Sika KonΓ© Sika KonΓ© F 2 18.0 7.5 4.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 62.5 - 55.5 50.0
I. Borlase I. Borlase G 2 19.0 7.5 1.0 2.5 1.0 1.0 2.5 9.0 1.5 - - - 27.8 0.0 100.0 - 37.1 27.8
R. Howard R. Howard G 2 12.5 5.5 0.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 30.0 37.5 100.0 - 50.6 45.0
I. Nivar I. Nivar - 2 16.0 5.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 2.5 - - - 50.0 50.0 66.7 - 59.0 56.2
M. Cazorla M. Cazorla - 1 22.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 11.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 75.0 - 66.5 50.0
S. Washington S. Washington - 1 7.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 - - - 66.7 0 50.0 - 64.4 66.7
Allisha Gray Allisha Gray G 2 10.0 4.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.5 -0.5 - - - 33.3 20.0 50.0 - 40.5 38.9
T. Thierry T. Thierry F 2 13.5 3.5 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 40.0 50.0 - 50.9 50.0
Stephanie Jones Stephanie Jones F 1 20.0 3.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 75.0 - 39.9 0.0
Jordin Canada Jordin Canada G 2 10.0 2.5 0.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.5 1.5 - - - 40.0 33.3 0.0 - 46.0 50.0
N. Hillmon N. Hillmon F 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
L. Phelia L. Phelia - 1 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
B. Fontleroy B. Fontleroy - 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG