🐻⬇️🏀

Assumption

Also known as: Assumption
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo 1123 (#77) -
Bradley-Terry 1152 (#60) -
Bradley-Terry Recency 1126 (#50) -
Margin +4.6 (#129) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency +3.6 (#303) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean 0.773 (#261) -
Adjusted Efficiency 0.729 (#309) AdjO 104.2 | AdjD 95.6
Log Adjusted 0.743 (#308) AdjO 101.7 | AdjD 92.7
Points Off/Def 0.622 (#313) AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 58.0
Points Off/Def Recency 0.591 (#181) AdjO 59.7 | AdjD 55.6
Core Ensemble 0.688 (#188) Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def
Recency Ensemble 0.682 (#193) Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency
KenPom Kitchen Sink 0.749 (#207) -
Dynamic BT 1211 (#39) HCA +45.0

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 @ D'Youville W 63 - 43
2025-11-16 @ St. Thomas Aquinas W 49 - 44
2025-11-22 @ Holy Family W 58 - 54
2025-11-25 vs American Int'l L 52 - 71
2025-11-30 vs Mercy W 68 - 56
2025-12-03 @ Pace W 54 - 40
2025-12-06 vs Dominican (NY) W 86 - 40
2025-12-13 vs Southern N.H. W 80 - 67
2025-12-21 @ Dist. Columbia W 55 - 48
2026-01-02 @ Staten Island W 60 - 55
2026-01-10 @ American Int'l L 53 - 68
2026-01-13 @ Southern Conn. St. L 44 - 54
2026-01-17 vs Bentley L 55 - 59
2026-01-21 @ Saint Anselm W 61 - 60
2026-01-24 vs Franklin Pierce W 72 - 60
2026-01-28 @ Southern N.H. L 51 - 56
2026-01-31 vs Saint Michael's W 66 - 54
2026-02-04 @ Adelphi W 51 - 48
2026-02-07 vs Molloy W 63 - 45

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.