Asbury College
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 955 (#540) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 891 (#684) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 997 (#296) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -20.2 (#787) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.5 (#480) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.465 (#411) | AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 69.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.307 (#459) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.337 (#454) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 914 (#422) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-09 | @ | Bellarmine Knights | L | 55 - 87 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E. Claycomb
|
F | 1 | 20.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 89 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.21 | 0 | 0 |
N. Fort
|
F | 1 | 36.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 |
J. Shoulders
|
- | 1 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
E. Powell
|
- | 1 | 37.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.37 | 0 | 0 |
D. Walden
|
- | 1 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Winter
|
- | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
L. Means
|
- | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
W. O'Bryan
|
- | 1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
T. Thompson
|
- | 1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -29 | -1.6 | -7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 |
B. Younker
|
C | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Byrd
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
B. McNew
|
- | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
T. Robinson
|
- | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 105 | 3.4 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 |
Z. Thomas
|
- | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
B. Beavers
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Cowherd
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG