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Arlington Baptist

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Arlington Baptist
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 967 (#373) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 915 (#416) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 971 (#524) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -28.8 (#644) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.000 (#741) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -53.0 More → 0.001 (#488) NetEff -53.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -62.6 More → 0.001 (#745) AdjNet -62.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -62.0 More → 0.000 (#747) AdjNet -62.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 47.9 | AdjD 90.4 More → 0.020 (#753) AdjO 47.9 | AdjD 90.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.5 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.271 (#628) AdjO 57.5 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.111 (#645) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.127 (#648) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 299 | GP 2 More → 841 (#437) RD 299 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-21 @ St. Edward's L 53 - 81
2025-12-16 @ UT Permian Basin L 34 - 83

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Paris Beard - 2 21.4 9.5 3.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 4.0 - - - 44.4 0.0 100.0 - 49.2 44.4
Brilee Dousay - 1 10.7 8.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 75.0 66.7 0 - 100.0 100.0
Aniya Jackson - 2 15.8 7.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 11.0 -3.0 61 2.9 21.0 27.3 37.5 0.0 0.82 32.8 34.1
Sophia Cortez - 2 17.8 6.0 2.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 6.5 3.5 - - - 38.5 40.0 0 - 46.2 46.2
Laila Stewart - 2 17.4 5.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.5 0.5 -106 -10.6 -49.1 36.4 66.7 33.3 -5.87 44.6 45.5
Haley Perkins - 1 10.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -3.0 - - - 20.0 0 14.3 - 18.6 20.0
Zoe Senganya - 2 13.3 3.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 66.7 0.0 - 61.5 75.0
Precious Candler - 1 7.4 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Sa'Nya Green - 2 20.6 2.5 3.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.5 4.5 2.0 -10 -2.0 -30.1 22.2 0.0 33.3 0.21 24.2 22.2
Jordyn Overton - 2 5.9 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
Jade Davis - 2 14.1 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 39 1.9 8.5 50.0 0 0 3.98 50.0 50.0
Kaylee Bennett - 2 13.6 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.0 -4.0 142 6.2 35.6 0.0 0 0 4.8 0.0 0.0
Kenya Washington - 2 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Baylie Harris - 2 7.4 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 -1.5 2 0.1 2.0 0.0 0 0 -2.28 0.0 0.0
Silah Flores - 2 4.1 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
MyLeah Young - 2 30.8 0.0 2.0 4.5 2.5 0.0 3.5 4.5 1.0 6 2.0 56.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.79 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG