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Arkansas State Red Wolves

Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History

2025 Team Stats (2 games)

61.5
PPG
94.0
Opp
-32.5
Margin
30.1%
FG%
28.0%
3P%
87.5%
FT%
36.5
RPG
12.5
APG
18.5
TO
95.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2025 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1111 (#54) HCA +113 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +24.8 (#63) HCA +2.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 59.4 More → 0.753 (#37) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 59.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.902 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.886 (#66) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 32 More → 1231 (#55) RD 99 | GP 32

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-02-28 @ Troy Trojans W 89 - 85
2025-03-22 @ UConn Huskies L 34 - 103

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
W. Rogers W. Rogers G 2 27.0 11.0 6.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 10.5 9.5 -2 -0.1 -0.1 47.6 0.0 100.0 0.9 50.3 47.6
C. Rose C. Rose G 2 25.5 9.5 1.5 5.5 0.5 0.0 4.5 14.0 -1.5 17 0.5 0.7 28.6 37.5 0 0.57 33.9 33.9
K. Montue K. Montue G 2 17.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 2.0 10.5 0.0 12 0.4 0.8 28.6 29.4 100.0 0.5 42.0 40.5
Z. Shannon Z. Shannon G 2 23.0 8.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 7.5 2.0 -4 -0.1 -0.2 26.7 16.7 100.0 -0.01 44.2 30.0
K. Morgan K. Morgan G 2 17.0 7.0 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 9.5 1.5 16 0.5 0.7 26.3 30.0 50.0 0.9 35.2 34.2
A. Griffin A. Griffin G 2 23.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 6.0 4.0 36 1.9 9.3 33.3 40.0 0 0.07 50.0 50.0
M. McCollister M. McCollister G 2 16.5 5.0 3.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 3.0 6.5 2.0 29 0.9 2.0 23.1 22.2 100.0 0.44 36.0 30.8
S. Brown S. Brown G 2 23.5 4.5 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.5 3.5 24 0.9 2.7 42.9 50.0 0 0.57 64.3 64.3
B. Weary B. Weary G 2 14.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 35 1.1 2.4 12.5 0.0 50.0 0.15 16.9 12.5
N. Sam-Grant N. Sam-Grant F 2 13.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 -5 -0.2 -0.6 0.0 0 0 0.04 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG