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Arkansas State Red Wolves

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History

2010 Team Stats (1 games)

80.0
PPG
79.0
Opp
+1.0
Margin
43.2%
FG%
25.0%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
41.0
RPG
12.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.8
Adj PPG
66.9
Adj Opp PPG
#212
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 922 (#229) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 928 (#218) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 965 (#214) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -4.3 (#210) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -2.8 (#184) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.373 (#223) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.1 More → 0.331 (#206) AdjNet -6.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.2 More → 0.328 (#208) AdjNet -6.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.409 (#212) AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 66.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.461 (#186) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.393 (#209) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.404 (#205) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 148 | GP 31 More → 930 (#216) RD 148 | GP 31

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-13 @ Creighton Bluejays L 54 - 77
2009-11-16 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 80 - 79
2009-11-18 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 72 - 58
2009-11-20 @ VCU Rams L 43 - 72
2009-11-21 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 52 - 76
2009-11-24 vs Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters L 59 - 71
2009-11-27 vs Missouri State Lady Bears L 65 - 73
2009-11-30 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 70 - 79
2009-12-05 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 65 - 62
2009-12-15 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 67 - 60
2009-12-19 vs Little Rock Trojans L 49 - 75
2009-12-22 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 68 - 54
2009-12-30 @ Denver Pioneers L 60 - 65
2010-01-02 vs North Texas Mean Green W 77 - 65
2010-01-06 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 65 - 75
2010-01-10 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 67 - 68
2010-01-16 @ North Texas Mean Green W 77 - 76
2010-01-20 @ Florida International Panthers L 61 - 65
2010-01-23 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 69 - 85
2010-01-27 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 67 - 56
2010-01-30 vs Denver Pioneers W 74 - 58
2010-02-03 @ Little Rock Trojans L 48 - 79
2010-02-06 @ LSU New Orleans Privateers L 57 - 70
2010-02-08 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 77 - 56
2010-02-10 @ Western Kentucky Lady Toppers L 78 - 83
2010-02-17 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 87 - 58
2010-02-20 vs Western Kentucky Lady Toppers L 74 - 83
2010-02-24 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 67 - 52
2010-02-27 vs Troy Trojans L 69 - 75
2010-03-06 vs Troy Trojans W 60 - 54
2010-03-07 @ Little Rock Trojans L 60 - 73

2010 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
E. Jefferson E. Jefferson G 1 0.0 22.0 8.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 8.0 18.0 12.0 -62 24 -2.6 -3.1 50.0 0 57.1 1.68 52.2 50.0
S. Hurst S. Hurst NA 1 0.0 16.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 11.0 6.0 -91 24 -3.8 -4.5 45.5 0.0 85.7 -2.08 56.8 45.5
S. Scott S. Scott F 1 0.0 15.0 11.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 16.0 -64 24 -2.7 -3.9 63.6 0 50.0 -0.58 63.1 63.6
M. Lewis M. Lewis NA 1 0.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 1.0 -89 24 -3.7 -6.8 30.0 40.0 0 -2.15 40.0 40.0
L. Schlup L. Schlup F 1 0.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 -45 24 -1.9 -2.6 28.6 0 100.0 0.76 33.6 28.6

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG