Arkansas State Red Wolves
2009 Team Stats (1 games)
57.0
PPG
87.0
Opp
-30.0
Margin
38.0%
FG%
20.0%
3P%
68.0%
FT%
21.0
RPG
13.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.3
Adj PPG
62.3
Adj Opp PPG
#165
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2008-2009
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1046 (#142) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1017 (#158) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1022 (#132) | HCA +85 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -0.0 (#166) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -2.5 (#191) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.524 (#157) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.518 (#160) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.518 (#160) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.500 (#165) | AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 62.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.472 (#188) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.507 (#164) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.501 (#165) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1020 (#155) | RD 161 | GP 30 |
2009 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008-11-14 | vs | Creighton Bluejays | W | 73 - 56 |
| 2008-11-16 | vs | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | W | 71 - 40 |
| 2008-11-19 | @ | Southern Illinois Salukis | L | 76 - 79 |
| 2008-11-23 | @ | Missouri State Bears | L | 52 - 61 |
| 2008-11-25 | vs | Kansas State Wildcats | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2008-11-28 | vs | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | W | 88 - 69 |
| 2008-11-29 | @ | UTSA Roadrunners | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2008-12-02 | @ | Indiana State Sycamores | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2008-12-07 | vs | Oklahoma Sooners | L | 57 - 87 |
| 2008-12-17 | vs | Florida International Panthers | L | 51 - 63 |
| 2008-12-20 | @ | Little Rock Trojans | L | 47 - 65 |
| 2008-12-28 | vs | Alcorn State Lady Braves | W | 71 - 44 |
| 2008-12-30 | @ | BYU Cougars | L | 39 - 49 |
| 2009-01-04 | vs | New Orleans Privateers | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2009-01-07 | @ | Denver Pioneers | L | 63 - 64 |
| 2009-01-10 | @ | North Texas Mean Green | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2009-01-14 | vs | UL Monroe Warhawks | W | 64 - 54 |
| 2009-01-18 | vs | South Alabama Jaguars | L | 68 - 69 |
| 2009-01-21 | @ | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | L | 51 - 91 |
| 2009-01-25 | vs | Florida Atlantic Owls | L | 44 - 54 |
| 2009-01-28 | vs | Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | - | Preview |
| 2009-01-29 | vs | Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | - | Preview |
| 2009-02-02 | vs | Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2009-02-04 | @ | Troy Trojans | L | 69 - 74 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ | Florida International Panthers | L | 44 - 55 |
| 2009-02-11 | vs | Little Rock Trojans | W | 56 - 55 |
| 2009-02-14 | @ | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2009-02-18 | @ | New Orleans Privateers | W | 47 - 41 |
| 2009-02-22 | vs | Denver Pioneers | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2009-02-25 | vs | North Texas Mean Green | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2009-02-28 | @ | UL Monroe Warhawks | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2009-03-04 | vs | North Texas Mean Green | L | 74 - 80 |
2009 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Taylor
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 62.2 | 57.1 |
L. Schlup
|
F | 1 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 85.0 | 100.0 |
V. Smith
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 25.0 | - | 37.2 | 38.9 |
S. Scott
|
F | 1 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 68.0 | 60.0 |
M. Campbell
|
- | 1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 17.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG