๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History

2009 Team Stats (1 games)

57.0
PPG
87.0
Opp
-30.0
Margin
38.0%
FG%
20.0%
3P%
68.0%
FT%
21.0
RPG
13.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.3
Adj PPG
62.3
Adj Opp PPG
#165
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1046 (#142) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1017 (#158) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More โ†’ 1022 (#132) HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -0.0 (#166) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -2.5 (#191) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.524 (#157) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.6 More โ†’ 0.518 (#160) AdjNet +0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.6 More โ†’ 0.518 (#160) AdjNet +0.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 62.3 More โ†’ 0.500 (#165) AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 62.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 62.8 More โ†’ 0.472 (#188) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 62.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.507 (#164) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.501 (#165) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 161 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1020 (#155) RD 161 | GP 30

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-11-14 vs Creighton Bluejays W 73 - 56
2008-11-16 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 71 - 40
2008-11-19 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 76 - 79
2008-11-23 @ Missouri State Bears L 52 - 61
2008-11-25 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 58 - 69
2008-11-28 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 88 - 69
2008-11-29 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 73 - 59
2008-12-02 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 76 - 68
2008-12-07 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 57 - 87
2008-12-17 vs Florida International Panthers L 51 - 63
2008-12-20 @ Little Rock Trojans L 47 - 65
2008-12-28 vs Alcorn State Lady Braves W 71 - 44
2008-12-30 @ BYU Cougars L 39 - 49
2009-01-04 vs New Orleans Privateers W 63 - 61
2009-01-07 @ Denver Pioneers L 63 - 64
2009-01-10 @ North Texas Mean Green W 73 - 63
2009-01-14 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 64 - 54
2009-01-18 vs South Alabama Jaguars L 68 - 69
2009-01-21 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 51 - 91
2009-01-25 vs Florida Atlantic Owls L 44 - 54
2009-01-28 vs Western Kentucky Lady Toppers - Preview
2009-01-29 vs Western Kentucky Lady Toppers - Preview
2009-02-02 vs Western Kentucky Lady Toppers W 78 - 67
2009-02-04 @ Troy Trojans L 69 - 74
2009-02-07 @ Florida International Panthers L 44 - 55
2009-02-11 vs Little Rock Trojans W 56 - 55
2009-02-14 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 74 - 66
2009-02-18 @ New Orleans Privateers W 47 - 41
2009-02-22 vs Denver Pioneers W 72 - 65
2009-02-25 vs North Texas Mean Green W 76 - 67
2009-02-28 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 66 - 63
2009-03-04 vs North Texas Mean Green L 74 - 80

2009 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Taylor J. Taylor G 1 0.0 12.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 12.0 - - - - 57.1 0.0 66.7 - 62.2 57.1
L. Schlup L. Schlup F 1 0.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 7.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 85.0 100.0
V. Smith V. Smith G 1 0.0 8.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 3.0 - - - - 33.3 50.0 25.0 - 37.2 38.9
S. Scott S. Scott F 1 0.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 - - - - 60.0 0 100.0 - 68.0 60.0
M. Campbell M. Campbell - 1 0.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 17.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG