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Arkansas Razorbacks

Also known as: Arkansas Razorbacks
Program History

2011 Team Stats (12 games)

56.6
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
40.6%
FG%
34.9%
3P%
64.6%
FT%
27.3
RPG
10.4
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.2
Adj PPG
53.7
Adj Opp PPG
#66
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1114 (#103) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1201 (#56) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +81 elo More โ†’ 1070 (#81) HCA +81 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +11.2 (#66) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +10.1 (#69) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.727 (#83) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.7 More โ†’ 0.873 (#67) AdjNet +16.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.9 More โ†’ 0.875 (#68) AdjNet +16.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 53.7 More โ†’ 0.722 (#66) AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 53.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 55.9 More โ†’ 0.654 (#64) AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 55.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.746 (#70) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.734 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1148 (#77) RD 94 | GP 34

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 71 - 62
2010-11-14 vs Davidson Wildcats W 68 - 55
2010-11-17 vs Mississippi Valley State Devilettes W 55 - 54
2010-11-21 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 77 - 50
2010-11-23 vs Tennessee State Lady Tigers W 71 - 50
2010-11-26 vs High Point Panthers W 82 - 63
2010-11-27 @ UTEP Miners W 59 - 56
2010-12-01 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 57 - 54
2010-12-04 @ Utah Utes W 65 - 54
2010-12-16 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 80 - 63
2010-12-19 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 67 - 57
2010-12-28 vs Furman Paladins W 88 - 47
2011-01-02 @ Florida Gators L 53 - 64
2011-01-06 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 78 - 67
2011-01-09 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs W 61 - 56
2011-01-13 vs Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 56 - 59
2011-01-16 @ Alabama Crimson Tide W 57 - 53
2011-01-20 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 54 - 65
2011-01-23 vs Ole Miss Rebels L 65 - 69
2011-01-27 @ LSU Tigers W 53 - 45
2011-01-30 vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 53 - 72
2011-02-03 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 54 - 57
2011-02-06 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 62 - 64
2011-02-13 vs Auburn Tigers L 59 - 64
2011-02-17 @ Ole Miss Rebels W 56 - 53
2011-02-20 vs LSU Tigers W 42 - 40
2011-02-24 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 54 - 55
2011-02-27 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 79 - 92
2011-03-03 @ Florida Gators L 59 - 68
2011-03-10 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 78 - 61
2011-03-17 vs Lamar Cardinals W 91 - 65
2011-03-20 @ Missouri State Lady Bears W 65 - 64
2011-03-23 @ Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 78 - 59
2011-03-27 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 49 - 60

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Ricketts C. Ricketts NA 12 0.0 14.4 4.1 3.2 2.2 0.3 2.6 12.8 8.8 129 28 4.6 5.7 44.2 32.4 62.5 0.61 50.4 48.1
L. Harris L. Harris NA 12 0.0 13.5 4.2 2.6 1.2 0.2 2.9 12.0 6.8 90 23 3.9 5.2 37.5 37.6 80.0 0.46 53.0 50.7
S. Watkins S. Watkins NA 12 0.0 13.4 4.6 1.1 0.5 1.8 2.4 9.9 9.1 186 28 6.6 9.5 47.1 34.8 74.5 6.96 56.2 50.4
A. Daniels A. Daniels NA 11 0.0 6.8 6.9 1.0 1.3 0.7 2.4 5.5 8.9 104 27 3.9 5.4 48.3 0 63.0 0.5 52.2 48.3
Q. Williams Q. Williams NA 1 0.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 95 21 4.5 13.3 25.0 0 50.0 4.34 30.7 25.0
J. Townsend J. Townsend NA 12 0.0 2.8 2.8 0.8 0.8 0.1 1.2 3.7 2.2 -3 28 -0.1 -0.2 34.1 0.0 30.0 -2.64 34.1 34.1

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG