🐻⬇️🏀

Arkansas Baptist Buffaloes

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2006 2005 2004
Also known as: Arkansas Baptist Buffaloes
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 985 (#474) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -7.7 (#613) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -9.6 (#469) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 70.7 More → 0.441 (#487) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 70.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.281 (#481) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.307 (#489) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 3 More → 810 (#607) RD 350 | GP 3

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-14 @ Little Rock Trojans L 60 - 91
2021-11-29 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 70 - 75
2021-12-18 @ Troy Trojans L 64 - 84

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
G. Johnson G. Johnson - 3 34.0 13.3 2.7 2.0 2.3 0.0 2.7 0.0 17.7 - - - 0 0 0 -0.09 0 0
G. Lennox G. Lennox - 3 33.7 12.3 5.7 2.0 0.7 0.0 1.3 0.0 19.3 - - - 0 0 0 -0.41 0 0
A. Garcia A. Garcia - 1 15.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 9.0 178 7.1 13.7 0 0 0 1.55 0 0
D. Martin D. Martin - 3 27.3 7.7 2.7 1.7 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.0 9.7 - - - 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
I. West I. West - 3 28.7 5.0 7.3 1.7 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 15.3 - - - 0 0 0 -0.35 0 0
K. Breeden K. Breeden - 2 25.0 3.5 4.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.5 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.37 0 0
P. Greene P. Greene - 1 22.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Franks T. Franks - 3 7.3 2.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 3.7 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. White J. White - 2 3.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 -44 -2.4 -12.9 0 0 0 0.06 0 0
D. Bell D. Bell - 3 11.7 2.0 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 4.3 21 0.8 1.9 0 0 0 0.09 0 0
Rayonte Childs Rayonte Childs G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Robert Roberson Robert Roberson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Chris Rufus Chris Rufus G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jordan Thomas Jordan Thomas G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -291 -9.1 -14.1 - - - 1.05 - -
David Berry David Berry G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Aaron Johnson Aaron Johnson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 24 1.0 1.8 - - - -0.13 - -
Eric Kendrick Eric Kendrick C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Dontrell Johnson Dontrell Johnson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -46 -1.6 -4.5 - - - 0.36 - -
T. Ware T. Ware G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - -0.19 - -
R. Mayo R. Mayo - 2 8.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
I. Smith I. Smith - 1 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG