Ark.-Monticello
Also known as: Ark.-Monticello
Program History
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1013 (#357) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1016 (#365) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1041 (#203) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +18.4 (#136) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.994 (#154) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.770 (#246) | AdjNet +10.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.768 (#246) | AdjNet +10.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.607 (#288) | AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.488 (#435) | AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 74.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.698 (#210) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.697 (#201) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1087 (#226) | RD 350 | GP 2 |
2024 Schedule & Results
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Jackson | - | 1 | 35.0 | 32.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 21.0 | - | - | - | 61.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 70.3 | 66.7 |
| Zane Nelson | - | 1 | 36.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 62.5 | 25.0 | - | 79.9 | 87.5 |
| Wesley Booker | - | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Cole Anderson | - | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 13 | 4.3 | 390.0 | 14.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.39 | 22.8 | 14.3 |
| Donovan Cooper | - | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6 | 3.0 | 10.9 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.09 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Zae Wiggins | - | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| AK Hazely | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 23.1 | 33.3 |
| Alex Brogdon | - | 1 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Josh Denton | - | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mario Fantina | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dyllan Young | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ty'Reonn King | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -2.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 |
| Timur Krupalija | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Reddick | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cam Rhodes | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG