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Ark. Baptist

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022
Also known as: Ark. Baptist
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 986 (#300) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 939 (#369) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 981 (#491) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -5.2 (#444) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.002 (#671) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -19.3 More → 0.061 (#412) NetEff -19.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -38.6 More → 0.011 (#697) AdjNet -38.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -38.5 More → 0.009 (#698) AdjNet -38.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 48.0 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.136 (#660) AdjO 48.0 | AdjD 68.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 63.8 More → 0.463 (#445) AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 63.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.373 (#472) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.382 (#470) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 922 (#339) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 @ Ark.-Monticello L 52 - 66

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J Fry - 1 25.5 22.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 16.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 50.0 - 59.0 59.4
Shanice Ferguson - 1 13.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 60.0 0 33.3 - 55.4 60.0
I Woods - 1 35.1 6.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 3.0 - - - 22.2 0.0 66.7 - 29.1 22.2
E Wofford - 1 33.0 6.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 2.0 - - - 22.2 0 100.0 - 30.4 22.2
Z Jackson - 1 28.8 4.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 -1 -0.2 -10.8 50.0 0 0 0.37 50.0 50.0
M Escabor - 1 18.8 3.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 - - - 20.0 0 33.3 - 23.7 20.0
A Kenner - 1 29.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 0 50.0 - 30.7 25.0
Dihlynn Mitchell - 1 2.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
T Jones - 1 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 97 4.2 15.2 0 0 0 2.73 0 0
K Moore - 1 11.3 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG