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Arizona

Also known as: Arizona Wildcats, Arizona
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1429 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1290 (#16) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 1132 (#25) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ +16.1 (#14) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +15.4 (#15) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.655 (#85) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.2 More โ†’ 0.928 (#17) AdjNet +22.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.4 More โ†’ 0.930 (#17) AdjNet +22.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.1 | AdjD 69.2 More โ†’ 0.779 (#18) AdjO 83.1 | AdjD 69.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 70.2 More โ†’ 0.704 (#26) AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 70.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.841 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.831 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1267 (#17) RD 94 | GP 34

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-08 N Maryland W 71 - 67
2001-11-09 N Florida W 75 - 71
2001-11-17 @ Texas W 88 - 74
2001-12-01 vs Kansas L 97 - 105
2001-12-04 vs Illinois W 87 - 82
2001-12-08 N Purdue W 79 - 66
2001-12-15 @ Michigan State L 60 - 74
2001-12-20 @ Oregon State W 76 - 73
2001-12-22 @ Oregon L 75 - 105
2001-12-28 vs Pepperdine W 94 - 71
2001-12-30 vs Valparaiso W 74 - 70
2002-01-04 vs Oregon L 80 - 90
2002-01-06 vs Oregon State W 93 - 87
2002-01-10 @ Washington State W 92 - 85
2002-01-12 @ Washington W 74 - 69
2002-01-17 vs Southern California W 97 - 80
2002-01-19 vs UCLA W 96 - 86
2002-01-23 @ Arizona State L 72 - 88
2002-01-26 vs Connecticut L 98 - 100
2002-01-31 @ California W 68 - 58
2002-02-02 @ Stanford W 88 - 82
2002-02-07 vs Washington W 91 - 82
2002-02-09 vs Washington State W 85 - 68
2002-02-14 @ UCLA L 76 - 77
2002-02-16 @ Southern California L 89 - 94
2002-02-20 vs Arizona State W 83 - 75
2002-02-28 vs Stanford L 71 - 76
2002-03-02 vs California W 99 - 53
2002-03-07 vs Arizona State W 73 - 56
2002-03-08 vs California W 90 - 78
2002-03-09 vs Southern California W 81 - 71
2002-03-14 N UC Santa Barbara W 86 - 81
2002-03-16 N Wyoming W 68 - 60
2002-03-21 N Oklahoma L 67 - 88

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.