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Arizona

Also known as: Arizona Wildcats, Arizona
Program History

Model Outputs

2000-2001
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1570 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1355 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +117 elo More โ†’ 1269 (#2) HCA +117 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +26.4 (#2) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +30.6 (#2) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.903 (#4) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +35.8 More โ†’ 0.985 (#2) AdjNet +35.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +36.3 More โ†’ 0.985 (#2) AdjNet +36.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 59.8 More โ†’ 0.894 (#2) AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 59.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 60.5 More โ†’ 0.877 (#2) AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 60.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.946 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.945 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 85 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1383 (#3) RD 85 | GP 35

2001 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2000-11-21 N Dayton W 76 - 59
2000-11-22 N Illinois W 79 - 76
2000-11-25 N Purdue L 69 - 72
2000-11-29 vs Gonzaga W 101 - 87
2000-12-02 vs Saint Mary's W 101 - 41
2000-12-09 @ Connecticut L 69 - 71
2000-12-16 N Illinois L 73 - 81
2000-12-20 vs Louisiana State W 88 - 75
2000-12-28 vs Butler W 72 - 60
2000-12-30 vs Mississippi State L 74 - 75
2001-01-04 vs California W 78 - 75
2001-01-06 vs Stanford L 76 - 85
2001-01-11 @ Washington State W 84 - 51
2001-01-13 @ Washington W 89 - 64
2001-01-18 vs Southern California W 71 - 58
2001-01-20 vs UCLA W 88 - 63
2001-01-24 vs Arizona State W 86 - 75
2001-01-27 vs Texas W 80 - 52
2001-02-01 @ Oregon L 67 - 79
2001-02-03 @ Oregon State W 68 - 41
2001-02-08 vs Washington W 82 - 62
2001-02-10 vs Washington State W 86 - 51
2001-02-15 @ UCLA L 77 - 79
2001-02-17 @ Southern California W 105 - 61
2001-02-21 @ Arizona State W 88 - 58
2001-03-01 vs Oregon State W 65 - 54
2001-03-03 vs Oregon W 104 - 65
2001-03-08 @ Stanford W 76 - 75
2001-03-10 @ California W 78 - 76
2001-03-16 N Eastern Illinois W 101 - 76
2001-03-18 N Butler W 73 - 52
2001-03-23 N Mississippi W 66 - 56
2001-03-25 N Illinois W 87 - 81
2001-03-31 N Michigan State W 80 - 61
2001-04-02 N Duke L 72 - 82

2001 Roster

No roster data available for this season.